23rd Nov. Italian Serie A---Inter Milan VS AC Milan Prediction
Italian Serie A - Inter Milan VS AC Milan
Match Time:24-11-2025 03:45 Monday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Inter Milan are entering this Serie A Derby della Madonnina Matchday 12 clash at San Siro on October 31, 2025, in top form, sitting 1st with 28 points from 11 matches (9 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their recent form shows five wins and one draw in the last six league games, including a 2-0 victory over Juventus and a 1-1 Champions League draw against Arsenal. They've scored 24 goals and conceded 8, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. At home, Inter are unbeaten in 8 league games, with 6 clean sheets. Coach Simone Inzaghi's 3-5-2 relies on Lautaro Martínez's finishing (8 goals) and Hakan Çalhanoğlu's creativity (5 assists). Denzel Dumfries is doubtful (knock), but no other major injuries. Inter will leverage the San Siro atmosphere to dominate the derby and extend their 5-game winning streak against Milan.
AC Milan are in a transitional phase, sitting 6th with 20 points from 11 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Their recent form includes three wins and two losses in the last five, with a 2-1 win over Venezia but a 1-2 loss to Napoli. They've scored 18 goals and conceded 14, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Away form is mixed, with 2 wins in 5 road games. Coach Paulo Fonseca's 4-2-3-1 depends on Rafael Leão's flair (5 goals) and Christian Pulisic's creativity (4 assists). Theo Hernández and Pierre Kalulu are out (injuries), with Fikayo Tomori doubtful (hamstring). Milan will focus on quick transitions and set-pieces to challenge Inter's defense, aiming to end a 5-game derby losing streak.
Head to Head
Inter Milan and AC Milan have met 246 times in Serie A, with Inter winning 79, Milan 78, and 89 draws, averaging 2.4 goals per game. Inter have won the last 5 derbies, including a 2-1 victory in April 2025. At San Siro, Inter have won 3 of the last 5, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of the last 10, but Inter kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5. Inter's 2-0 Juventus win and Milan's 2-1 Venezia victory suggest a competitive, potentially high-scoring derby.
Prediction
Inter's unbeaten home run (8 games) and recent derby dominance (5 straight wins) make them favorites against Milan's inconsistent away form and injury concerns. Milan's attack (1.6 goals per game) could threaten, but Inter's defense (0.7 conceded per game) should hold. I predict a 2-1 Inter win, with Martínez and Çalhanoğlu scoring, and Leão replying for Milan. Inter's win probability is around 55%, reflecting their 2-0 Juventus win and Milan's 1-2 Napoli loss. Expect Inter to control possession (around 52%) and corners (7-9), with Milan relying on counters. The game will be fierce, with Inter securing three points to stay atop Serie A.
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