23rd Nov. Spanish La Liga---Elche VS Real Madrid Prediction
Spanish La Liga - Elche VS Real Madrid
Match Time:24-11-2025 04:00 Monday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Elche are entering this La Liga Matchday 7 clash at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero on September 28, 2025, in strong form, sitting 5th with 10 points from 6 matches (2 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses). Their recent form shows two wins, three draws, and no losses in their last five league matches, including a 1-1 draw at Osasuna and a 1-0 win over Real Oviedo. They've scored 7 goals and conceded 4, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. At home, Elche are unbeaten in three league games (two wins, one draw), with goalkeeper Edgar Badía keeping one clean sheet. Coach Eder Sarabia's 3-1-4-2 relies on Rafa Mir's finishing (three goals) and Álvaro Rodríguez's creativity (two assists). Injuries to José Salinas (ankle), Mourad El Ghezouani (doubtful, knock), and Álvaro Núñez (ankle) are concerns, but Adria Pedrosa is available. Elche will leverage their home crowd to control possession and exploit Real Madrid's defensive frailties, aiming to maintain their unbeaten run.
Real Madrid are in top form, sitting 1st with 15 points from 6 matches (5 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). Their recent form includes five straight wins across all competitions, with a 2-0 league victory over Espanyol and a 2-1 UEFA Champions League win against Olympique Marseille on September 17, 2025. They've scored 11 goals and conceded 2 in La Liga, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game. Away form is strong, with two wins in three road games, including a 3-0 win at Real Sociedad. Coach Xabi Alonso's 4-3-3 depends on Kylian Mbappé's finishing (four goals) and Vinícius Júnior's flair (one assist). Injuries to Trent Alexander-Arnold (hamstring), Ferland Mendy (thigh), and Antonio Rüdiger (doubtful, knock) are concerns, but Dani Carvajal and Éder Militão are available. Real Madrid will aim to dominate possession and tempo, seeking to extend their perfect league start.
Head to Head
Real Madrid dominate this fixture, winning 25 of the last 30 La Liga meetings with Elche (4 draws, 1 Elche win), including a 6-0 home win on May 12, 2022. At Manuel Martínez Valero, Real Madrid have won 12 of 15, with 2 draws, and their last visit ended in a 2-0 victory in 2021. Matches average 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of recent encounters, suggesting a potentially open game. Real Madrid's recent dominance (11-2 aggregate in their last two wins) gives them a psychological edge, but Elche's 1-0 upset in 2020 shows their home threat.
Prediction
Real Madrid's perfect form, attacking depth, and historical dominance make them clear favorites against an Elche side unbeaten but with limited scoring power. Elche's home resilience could keep it close, but Real Madrid's quality should prevail. I predict a 2-0 Real Madrid win, with Mbappé or Vinícius scoring, and Elche failing to break through. Real Madrid's win probability is around 70%, reflecting their 2-0 Espanyol win and Elche's 1-0 Oviedo victory. Expect Real Madrid to dominate possession (around 60%) and corners (8-10), with Elche relying on counters. The game will see Real Madrid's wingers exploit Elche's flanks, securing three points to maintain their La Liga lead.
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