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23rd Nov. Spanish La Liga---Getafe VS Atletico Madrid Prediction

23rd Nov. Spanish La Liga---Getafe VS Atletico Madrid Prediction
Spanish La Liga  -  Getafe VS Atletico Madrid
Match Time:24-11-2025 01:30 Monday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Team Reviews
Getafe are entering this La Liga Matchday 12 clash at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez on October 25, 2025, in a transitional phase, sitting 12th with 12 points from 11 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses). Their recent form shows one win and two draws in the last five league games, including a 1-0 win over Osasuna but a 2-1 loss to Villarreal. They've scored 9 goals and conceded 14, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. At home, Getafe are resilient, winning 2 of 5 league games, with goalkeeper David Soria keeping 1 clean sheet. Coach José Bordalás's 4-4-2 relies on Mauro Arambarri's midfield drive (2 goals) and Borja Mayoral's finishing (3 goals). Injuries to Juan Iglesias (knee) and doubts over Omar Alderete (hamstring) weaken their squad. Getafe will leverage their compact style and home crowd to frustrate Atlético, aiming for a rare win against the capital rivals.

Atlético Madrid are in strong form, sitting 4th with 22 points from 11 matches (7 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their recent form includes three wins in the last five league games, with a 2-0 victory over Girona and a 1-1 draw against Real Madrid. They've scored 18 goals and conceded 8, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Away form is solid, with 4 wins in 5 road games. Diego Simeone's 4-4-2 depends on Antoine Griezmann's creativity (4 goals) and Julián Álvarez's finishing (5 goals). No major injuries are reported, though Reinildo Mandava is doubtful (calf). Atlético will aim to dominate possession and exploit Getafe's defensive gaps, seeking to extend their unbeaten run against the hosts.

Head to Head
Atlético Madrid dominate, winning 15 of the last 20 meetings with Getafe (3 draws, 2 Getafe wins), including a 3-0 home win in February 2025 and a 1-0 away victory in August 2024. At Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Atlético have won 7 of the last 10, with 2 draws. Matches average 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of the last 10, suggesting low-scoring, Atlético-controlled games. Atlético's 2-0 Girona win and Getafe's 1-0 Osasuna victory indicate Atlético's edge, but Getafe's 2-1 Villarreal loss shows vulnerability.

Prediction
Atlético's superior form (7 wins in 11) and historical dominance (15 wins in 20) make them favorites, but Getafe's home resilience (2 wins in 5) and Bordalás's defensive setup could frustrate. Atlético's attack (1.6 goals per game) should break through Getafe's defense (1.3 conceded). I predict a 2-0 Atlético win, with Griezmann and Álvarez scoring. Atlético's win probability is around 60%, reflecting their 2-0 Girona win and Getafe's 2-1 Villarreal loss. Expect Atlético to control possession (around 55%) and corners (7-9), with Getafe relying on counters. The game will be tight, with Atlético securing three points to stay in the title race.
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