9th Sep. AFC U23 Asian Cup---South Korea U23 VS Indonesia U23 Prediction
AFC U23 Asian Cup - South Korea U23 VS Indonesia U23
Match Time:09-09-2025 20:30 Tuesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
South Korea U23 are entering this AFC U23 Asian Cup Qualifier Group J match at a neutral venue in Indonesia with strong momentum, sitting first in the group after a 7-0 rout of Macau U23 on September 6, 2025, where Hong Yun-sang and Lee Young-jun each scored twice. Their recent form is impressive, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding three, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. On neutral or away pitches, South Korea are solid, winning two of their last three, with goalkeeper Baek Jong-beom keeping one clean sheet. Coach Sun-hong Hwang’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Hong Yun-sang’s flair (three goals in 2025) and Kang Sang-yoon’s midfield drive. No major injuries are reported, so South Korea will aim to dominate possession and exploit Indonesia’s defense, targeting a spot in the 2026 finals.
Indonesia U23, hosting the match at Stadion Gelora Delta in Sidoarjo, are second in Group J after a 5-0 win over Laos U23 on September 3, 2025, led by Rafael Struick’s brace. Their recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five, scoring seven goals and conceding four, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. At home, Indonesia are resilient, unbeaten in their last three competitive matches, with goalkeeper Ernando Ari keeping two clean sheets. Coach Tae-yong Shin’s 4-3-3 depends on Struick’s finishing and Marselino Ferdinan’s creativity. No major injuries are noted, but Indonesia will need to stay compact to counter South Korea’s attacking depth, leveraging their home crowd in this crucial group decider.
Head to Head
South Korea U23 and Indonesia U23 have met once recently, in the 2024 AFC U23 Asian Cup quarter-finals on April 25, 2024, where Indonesia pulled off a historic 2-2 draw (11-10 penalty shootout win), with Rafael Struick scoring twice and Komang Teguh’s own goal leveling it for South Korea. South Korea dominated possession (65%) but couldn’t break Indonesia’s resilience, per historical data. In Indonesia, this will be their first meeting, but the 2024 clash gives Indonesia a psychological boost despite South Korea’s higher ranking (South Korea 23rd, Indonesia 130th globally). Matches average 4.0 goals, with both teams scoring, suggesting a potentially open contest.
Prediction
South Korea U23’s superior form and attacking firepower make them slight favorites, but Indonesia’s home advantage and 2024 upset keep this competitive. I predict a 1-1 draw, with Hong Yun-sang or Lee Young-jun scoring for South Korea and Struick or Ferdinan replying for Indonesia. South Korea’s win-or-draw probability is around 60%, reflecting their quality, but Indonesia’s home crowd and defensive grit could force a stalemate. Expect South Korea to edge possession (around 58%) and corners (7-9 projected), with Indonesia’s counters posing a threat. The game should see both teams trading chances, with South Korea’s wingers testing Indonesia’s flanks, building on their 7-0 Macau win, but Indonesia’s resilience could hold firm.
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