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9th Sep. AFC U23 Asian Cup---Thailand U23 VS Malaysia U23 Prediction

9th Sep. AFC U23 Asian Cup---Thailand U23 VS Malaysia U23 Prediction
AFC U23 Asian Cup  -  Thailand U23 VS Malaysia U23
Match Time:09-09-2025 22:00 Tuesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Team Reviews
Thailand U23 are entering this AFC U23 Asian Cup Qualifier Group I match at Thammasat Stadium in Pathum Thani, Thailand, with confidence, sitting second in their group after a 2-0 win over Mongolia U23 on September 3, 2025, where Jaroensak Wonggorn and Purachet Thodsanid scored. Their recent form is solid, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, scoring seven goals and conceding four, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. At home, Thailand are strong, unbeaten in their last five competitive matches, with goalkeeper Soponwit Rakyart keeping three clean sheets. Coach Issara Sritaro’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Wonggorn’s pace (three goals in 2024 qualifiers) and Benjamin Davis’s creativity. No major injuries are reported, so Thailand will leverage their passionate home crowd to dominate possession and exploit Malaysia’s defense.

Malaysia U23 are third in Group I, coming off a 1-0 loss to Lebanon U23 on September 3, 2025, but showed resilience in their defensive setup. Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, scoring five goals and conceding five, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Away form is a concern, with no wins in their last three road games, including a 2-0 loss to Indonesia in the 2025 ASEAN U-23 Championship. Coach Juan Torres Garrido’s 4-4-2 depends on Fergus Tierney’s finishing and Muhammad Syahir’s midfield work rate. No major injuries are noted, but Malaysia will need to stay compact and rely on counters to challenge Thailand’s home dominance, facing a tough test after their recent loss.

Head to Head
Thailand U23 hold a strong historical edge over Malaysia U23, winning four of their last five meetings, with one draw, per historical data. Their most recent clash was a 1-0 Thailand win on September 12, 2023, in the AFC U23 qualifiers, with Anan Yodsangwal scoring. In Thailand, Thailand won 3-0 in a 2022 friendly and 3-0 in a 2017 SEA Games match. The lone draw was a 0-0 result in a 2021 qualifier. Matches average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of these encounters, as Thailand’s defense has kept clean sheets in four of the five games. Thailand’s 8-0 goal aggregate in these matches gives them a clear psychological edge, especially at home.

Prediction
Thailand U23’s strong home form, attacking depth, and historical dominance make them favorites against a Malaysia U23 side struggling on the road. I predict a 2-0 win for Thailand, with Wonggorn or Thodsanid likely scoring, while Rakyart keeps a clean sheet. Thailand’s win probability is around 66%, reflecting their unbeaten home record and Malaysia’s winless away streak. Expect Thailand to control possession (around 55%) and corners (8-10 projected), with Malaysia’s counters through Tierney posing a limited threat. The game should see Thailand’s wingers exploit Malaysia’s flanks, building on their 1-0 2023 win, for a comfortable victory.
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