7th Sep.FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)---Germany VS Northern Ireland Prediction
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) - Germany VS Northern Ireland
Match Time:08-09-2025 02:45 Monday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Germany are entering this FIFA World Cup 2026 UEFA Qualifier Group A match at RheinEnergieStadion in Cologne under pressure to rebound, sitting last in the group after a shock 2-0 loss to Slovakia on September 4, 2025, their first away World Cup qualifying defeat. Their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, scoring six goals and conceding five, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. At home, Germany are strong, unbeaten in their last four competitive matches, with goalkeeper Oliver Baumann keeping one clean sheet. Coach Julian Nagelsmann’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Florian Wirtz’s creativity (two goals in qualifiers) and Kai Havertz’s versatility, though injuries to Niclas Füllkrug, Jamal Musiala, and Marc-André ter Stegen are concerns. Germany will leverage their home crowd to dominate possession and exploit Northern Ireland’s defense, aiming to climb the group standings.
Northern Ireland are top of Group A with three points from their 3-1 win over Luxembourg on September 4, 2025, where Jamie Reid, Shea Charles, and Justin Devenny scored. Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, scoring five goals and conceding four, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Away form is a concern, with no wins in their last three road games, including a 2-0 loss to Iceland in June 2025. Coach Michael O’Neill’s 5-4-1 focuses on defensive solidity, with Conor Bradley and Trai Hume key in transitions. No major injuries are reported, but Northern Ireland will need to stay compact and rely on counters to challenge Germany’s attacking depth in this tough away fixture.
Head to Head
Germany dominate the historical record against Northern Ireland, winning nine of their last 10 meetings since 1992, with one draw. Their most recent clash was a 6-1 Germany rout in a Euro 2020 qualifier on November 19, 2019, with Serge Gnabry scoring a hat-trick. In Cologne, Germany won their last encounter 2-0 in a 2016 World Cup qualifier. Matches average 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 30% of recent games, per historical data. Northern Ireland’s last non-loss was a 0-0 draw in 1996, but Germany’s 28-4 goal aggregate in their last nine wins gives them a massive psychological edge. Northern Ireland’s 3-1 upset over Germany in 1983 Euro qualifiers is a distant memory.
Prediction
Germany’s home strength, attacking quality, and historical dominance make them heavy favorites, despite their recent Slovakia loss. Northern Ireland’s defensive approach could keep it close early, but their away struggles limit their chances. I predict a 3-0 win for Germany, with Wirtz or Havertz likely scoring, while Baumann keeps a clean sheet. Germany’s win probability is around 75%, reflecting their home form and Northern Ireland’s winless away run. Expect Germany to dominate possession (around 60%) and corners (9-11 projected), with Northern Ireland’s counters through Bradley posing a limited threat. The game should see Germany’s wingers overwhelm Northern Ireland’s backline, building on their 6-1 2019 rout, for a comfortable victory.
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