7th Sep.FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)---Turkey VS Spain Prediction
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) - Turkey VS Spain
Match Time:08-09-2025 02:45 Monday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Turkey are entering this FIFA World Cup 2026 UEFA Qualifier Group E match at Torku Arena in Konya with momentum, sitting first in the group after a 3-2 away win over Georgia on September 4, 2025. Their recent form is solid, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, scoring eight goals and conceding five, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. At home, Turkey are strong, unbeaten in their last three competitive matches, with goalkeeper Mert Günok keeping one clean sheet. Coach Vincenzo Montella’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Hakan Çalhanoğlu’s midfield control (75% pass accuracy) and Kerem Aktürkoğlu’s finishing (two goals vs. Georgia). No major injuries are reported, so Turkey will leverage their passionate home crowd to press high and challenge Spain’s possession-based style, aiming to take the group lead.
Spain, ranked 3rd globally, are second in Group E after a 3-0 away win over Bulgaria on September 4, 2025, with Mikel Oyarzabal, Marc Cucurella, and Mikel Merino scoring. Their recent form is excellent, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five, scoring 10 goals and conceding five, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Away from home, Spain are formidable, unbeaten in their last five road games, including a 5-4 thriller over France. Coach Luis de la Fuente’s 4-3-3 depends on Lamine Yamal’s flair and Álvaro Morata’s finishing (two goals in qualifiers). Despite injuries to Gavi, Dani Carvajal, and David García, Spain’s depth, with Alejandro Balde stepping in, remains strong. They’ll aim to dominate possession and exploit Turkey’s defense.
Head to Head
Spain hold a strong historical edge over Turkey, winning six of their 11 meetings since 1952, with four draws and one Turkey victory, per historical data. Their most recent clash was a 3-0 Spain win at Euro 2016, with Morata scoring twice. In Konya, the teams drew 0-0 in a 2008 World Cup qualifier, Turkey’s only non-loss at home against Spain. Matches average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 36% of encounters, suggesting a competitive but potentially low-scoring game. Spain’s 2-1 wins in 2009 qualifiers and their unbeaten run in the last five meetings give them a psychological edge, but Turkey’s 3-2 Georgia win shows they can challenge top sides at home.
Prediction
Spain’s superior quality, away form, and historical dominance make them slight favorites, but Turkey’s home strength and recent attacking output keep this close. I predict a 1-1 draw, with Aktürkoğlu or Arda Güler likely scoring for Turkey and Morata or Yamal replying for Spain. Spain’s win-or-draw probability is around 65%, reflecting their depth, but Turkey’s home resilience (unbeaten in three) could force a stalemate. Expect Spain to edge possession (around 58%) and corners (7-9 projected), with Turkey’s counters testing David Raya’s goal. The game should see both teams trading chances, with Turkey’s high press challenging Spain’s midfield, building on their competitive 0-0 draw in 2008.
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