21st Aug. UEFA Conference League - Crystal Palace VS Fredrikstad Prediction
UEFA Conference League - Crystal Palace VS Fredrikstad
Match Time:22-08-2025 03:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Crystal Palace FC
Crystal Palace, coached by Oliver Glasner, enters the play-offs after being demoted from the Europa League due to UEFA multi-club ownership rules. Their recent form includes three wins, one draw, and one loss in five competitive matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, with a 1-0 FA Community Shield win over Liverpool and a 0-0 Premier League draw at Chelsea on August 17, 2025. Key players include Eberechi Eze (1 goal in Community Shield), Marc Guéhi, and Jean-Philippe Mateta, with a probable 3-4-2-1 lineup: Henderson; Richards, Lacroix, Guéhi; Muñoz, Wharton, Hughes, Mitchell; Sarr, Eze; Mateta. Strengths include their defensive solidity (2 clean sheets in 5 games) and home form (2-0-0 in recent competitions), but injuries to Edward Nketiah, Cheick Doucoure, Chadi Riad, Caleb Kporha, and Matheus Franca, plus Daichi Kamada’s fitness doubts, are concerns. They aim to secure a strong first-leg lead, marking their first competitive European fixture since 1998.
Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad, led by Andreas Hagen, dropped into the Conference League after a 5-1 aggregate loss to FC Midtjylland (1-3 home, 0-2 away) in the Europa League third qualifying round on August 14, 2025. Their recent form shows one win, one draw, and three losses in five matches, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded, with a 2-2 league draw against Brann on August 16, 2025. Key players include Emil Holten (6 goals in Eliteserien), Oskar Øhlenschlæger, and Stian Molde, with a probable 5-4-1 lineup: Børsheim; Rafn, Woledzi, Fredriksen, S. Owusu, Skaret; Molde, Øhlenschlæger, L. Owusu, Metcalfe; Holten. Strengths include Holten’s scoring threat and set-piece play, but Valdemar Biksø’s injury and a seven-game winless away streak (0-3-4) are major issues. They aim to stay competitive for the second leg in Norway on August 28, 2025.
Head-to-Head
This is the first competitive meeting between Crystal Palace and Fredrikstad. No historical data exists, but Palace’s 12th-placed Premier League finish and FA Cup win contrast with Fredrikstad’s sixth-placed Eliteserien finish and Norwegian Cup qualification. Comparable matches (e.g., Fredrikstad vs Tottenham/Liverpool in past Europa League games) average 2.5 goals, with 50% both teams scoring (BTTS) and 50% over 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Crystal Palace FC 3-0 Fredrikstad FK
Palace’s Eze and Mateta face Fredrikstad’s Holten and Øhlenschlæger, with Palace’s Premier League quality and home strength tested by Fredrikstad’s defensive setup and set-piece threat. Palace are heavy favorites (1.33 odds, 75% win probability) over Fredrikstad (9.00), with a draw at 5.00. Trends (Palace: 60% under 2.5 goals; Fredrikstad: 40% BTTS) suggest a controlled game, with betting tips favoring Palace -1.5 Asian Handicap (1.80) and under 2.5 goals (2.00). Cards may be issued in the 18°C evening, with Palace’s 10 fouls and Fredrikstad’s 12 per game suggesting 3-4 cards. Palace aim to dominate, while Fredrikstad seek to limit damage. The winner advances to the Conference League league phase; the loser is eliminated. Palace may score through Eze and Mateta, with Fredrikstad unlikely to breach their defense. Palace’s quality and home form should secure a commanding win, setting up a favorable second leg, while Fredrikstad’s away struggles and defensive approach limit their threat.
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