21st Aug. UEFA Conference League - Polissya Zhytomyr VS Fiorentina Prediction

UEFA Conference League - Polissya Zhytomyr VS Fiorentina
Match Time:22-08-2025 02:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Polissya Zhytomyr
Polissya Zhytomyr, coached by Ruslan Rotan, advanced past Paksi FC with a 4-2 aggregate win (3-0 home, 1-2 away) in the third qualifying round on August 14, 2025, after defeating FC Santa Coloma (2-1 agg). Their recent form includes two wins and three losses in five competitive matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, with a 2-0 league loss to LNZ Cherkasy on August 16, 2025. Key players include Oleksandr Nazarenko (1 goal), Oleksandr Andrievsky (2 goals, 1 assist in qualifiers), and Bogdan Mykhaylichenko (1 assist), with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Volynets; Kravchenko, Sarapiy, Beskorovainyi, Mykhaylichenko; Andrievsky, Babenko; Hutsuliak, Lednev, Nazarenko; Filippov. Strengths include their set-piece effectiveness and competitive rhythm (4 qualifiers played), but a three-match losing streak and Lucas Taylor’s ligament injury are concerns. Playing on neutral turf due to Ukraine’s security situation, they aim to keep the tie competitive for the second leg inkernal on August 28, 2025, in Reggio Emilia, Italy.
ACF Fiorentina
Fiorentina, coached by Stefano Pioli, enters directly as Serie A’s 6th-placed team from 2024/25. Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses in five pre-season matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, with a 1-1 draw against Manchester United (lost on penalties) on August 9, 2025. Key players include Moise Kean (key performer in 2024/25), Edin Dzeko, and David de Gea (goalkeeper), with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: De Gea; Comuzzo, Pongracic, Ranieri, Dodô; Sohm, Fagioli; Gudmundsson, Gosens, Kean; Dzeko. Strengths include their European experience (reached Conference League final twice, semi-final in 2024/25) and attacking depth, but Christian Kouamé’s cruciate ligament injury and a winless pre-season (0-2-3) are issues. They aim to assert their Serie A quality and secure a first-leg lead.
Head-to-Head
This is the first competitive meeting between Polissya Zhytomyr and Fiorentina. Polissya’s 4-2 aggregate win over Paksi FC shows upset potential, while Fiorentina’s European pedigree (e.g., 3-2 win over Paks in 2024/25 qualifiers) makes them favorites. Comparable matches against similar opposition average 2.5 goals, with 50% both teams scoring (BTTS) and 60% over 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Polissya Zhytomyr 0-2 ACF Fiorentina
Polissya’s Nazarenko and Andrievsky face Fiorentina’s Kean and Dzeko, with Polissya’s set-piece threat tested by Fiorentina’s experience and attacking quality. Fiorentina are favorites (1.42 odds, 70% win probability) over Polissya (7.00), with a draw at 4.80. Trends (Polissya: 60% BTTS; Fiorentina: 60% under 2.5 goals) suggest a controlled game, with betting tips favoring Fiorentina to win (1.42) and under 2.5 goals (1.80). Cards may be issued in the 20°C evening, with Polissya’s 10 fouls and Fiorentina’s 11 per game suggesting 3-4 cards. Polissya aim to cause an upset, but Fiorentina’s quality should prevail. The winner advances to the Conference League league phase; the loser is eliminated. Fiorentina may score through Kean and Dzeko, with Polissya struggling to penetrate. Fiorentina’s European experience and attacking edge should secure a clean-sheet win, though Polissya’s set-pieces keep them competitive, setting up a challenging second leg.
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