21st Aug. Copa Sudamericana - Lanus VS Central Cordoba SDE Prediction
Copa Sudamericana - Lanus VS Central Cordoba SDE
Match Time:22-08-2025 08:30 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Lanús
Lanús, coached by Mauricio Pellegrino, trails 1-0 from the first leg against Central Córdoba on August 14, 2025, where Gastón Verón scored. They topped Group G with 12 points (3 wins, 3 draws) and have strong recent form, with four wins and one loss in five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, including a 2-1 league win over Gimnasia La Plata on August 17, 2025. Key players include Damián Marcelino Moreno (2 goals in Sudamericana), Eduardo Salvio, and Rodrigo Castillo, with a probable 4-4-2 lineup: Losada; Canale, Romero, Izquierdoz, Morgantini; Watson, Cardozo, Ramírez, Alexis Canelo; Cabrera, Segovia. Strengths include their attacking depth (9 goals in 6 Sudamericana games) and home form (2-1-0), but a controversial non-awarded penalty in the first leg and doubts over Sasha Marcich (injury) are concerns. They need a 1-0 win for penalties or a 2-0 win to advance, leveraging their home advantage.
Central Córdoba SdE
Central Córdoba, led by Omar De Felippe, holds a 1-0 lead after Verón’s goal in the first leg at Estadio Madre de Ciudades. They earned a playoff spot after finishing third in their Libertadores group and defeated Cerro Largo 3-0 on aggregate. Their recent form includes two wins, two draws, and one loss in five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, with a 1-1 league draw against Barracas Central on August 18, 2025. Key players include Gastón Verón (2 goals), Lucas Besozzi, and José Florentín, with a probable 4-4-2 lineup: Aguerre; Moyano, Abascia, Galván, Cufré; Gómez, Florentín, Juárez, Besozzi; Perelló, Verón. Strengths include their defensive solidity (no goals conceded in Sudamericana) and seven-game unbeaten streak, but a lack of away wins (0-2-2 in last 4) is a concern. They aim to protect their lead and advance to the quarterfinals.
Head-to-Head
Lanús and Central Córdoba have met 10 times since 2019, with Lanús winning 2, Central Córdoba 3, and 5 draws. In the first leg on August 14, 2025, Central Córdoba won 1-0 (Verón, 58’). Recent results include a 1-1 draw (August 18, 2024) and a 3-3 draw (May 10, 2022). Matches average 1.8 goals, with 40% both teams scoring (BTTS) and 40% over 2.5 goals. Lanús are unbeaten at home against Central Córdoba (1-4-0), but their last home win was in 2021.
Predicted Score: Lanús 1-0 Central Córdoba SdE (1-1 aggregate, Central Córdoba advances on penalties)
Lanús’s Moreno and Castillo face Central Córdoba’s Verón and Besozzi, with Lanús’s home strength and attacking form tested by Central Córdoba’s defensive resilience and first-leg lead. Lanús are favorites to win the match (1.80 odds, 55% win probability) over Central Córdoba (4.50), with a draw at 3.40, but Central Córdoba are slight favorites to advance (2.10 odds). Trends (Lanús: 60% over 2.5 goals; Central Córdoba: 40% under 2.5 goals) and H2H suggest a tight game, with betting tips favoring Lanús to win (1.80) and under 2.5 goals (1.85). Cards are likely in the 20°C evening, with Lanús’s 10 fouls and Central Córdoba’s 11 per game suggesting 4-5 cards under Garay’s whistle. Lanús will push aggressively, but Central Córdoba’s defensive solidity may hold. Lanús may score through Moreno, but Central Córdoba’s defense, led by Aguerre, is likely to limit damage. Lanús’s home form should secure a narrow win, but Central Córdoba’s first-leg lead and penalty shootout resilience (e.g., vs Cerro Largo) could see them advance, aligning with their defensive trends and H2H competitiveness.
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