21st Aug. UEFA Europa League - HSK Zrinjski Mostar VS FC Utrecht Prediction

UEFA Europa League - HSK Zrinjski Mostar VS FC Utrecht
Match Time:22-08-2025 02:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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HŠK Zrinjski Mostar
Zrinjski, coached by Mladen Žižović, advanced past Breiðablik with a 2-1 aggregate win (2-1 away, 0-0 home) in the third qualifying round on August 14, 2025, after losing 2-0 to ŠK Slovan Bratislava in the UCL qualifiers. Their recent form includes one win, three draws, and one loss in five competitive matches, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded. A 0-0 league draw against Široki Brijeg on August 16, 2025, reflects their defensive focus. Key players include Nemanja Bilbija (2 goals in qualifiers), Tomislav Kiš, and Kerim Memija, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Karačić; Memija, Barišić, Sušić, Šakota; Ivančić, Surdanović; Pranjić, Kiš, Abramović; Bilbija. Strengths include their defensive solidity (2 clean sheets in 5 games) and home atmosphere, but a lack of attacking consistency (1 goal in 3 games) and injuries to Igor Savić (doubtful) are concerns. They aim to secure a first-leg lead, leveraging their 2019 upset over Utrecht.
FC Utrecht
Utrecht, led by Ron Jans, progressed past Servette FC with a 5-2 aggregate win (3-0 home, 2-2 away) in the third qualifying round on August 14, 2025, after a 7-2 thrashing of Sheriff Tiraspol. Their recent form shows four wins and one loss in five competitive matches, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, including a 2-1 Eredivisie win over PEC Zwolle on August 17, 2025. Key players include Dani de Wit (2 goals vs Servette), Adrian Blake, and Siebe Horemans, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Brouwer; Horemans, Viergever, Van der Hoorn, El Karouani; Zechiël, Jensen; Blake, De Wit, Rodríguez; Min. Strengths include their attacking form (12 goals in 4 qualifiers) and away resilience, but doubts over David Min (ankle) and a historical loss to Zrinjski are issues. They aim to take a result back to Stadion Galgenwaard for the second leg on August 28, 2025.
Head-to-Head
Zrinjski and Utrecht have met twice, in the 2019/20 Europa League second qualifying round. Zrinjski won 3-2 on aggregate (2-1 home, 1-1 away), with Bilbija scoring in both legs. Matches averaged 2.5 goals, with 50% over 2.5 goals and 100% both teams scoring (BTTS). Zrinjski’s home win (2-1) gives them confidence, while Utrecht seek revenge under improved squad dynamics.
Predicted Score: HŠK Zrinjski Mostar 1-2 FC Utrecht
Zrinjski’s Bilbija and Kiš face Utrecht’s De Wit and Blake, with Zrinjski’s home strength and defensive organization tested by Utrecht’s attacking flair. Utrecht are favorites (2.10 odds, 48% win probability) over Zrinjski (3.50), with a draw at 3.30. Trends (Zrinjski: 60% under 2.5 goals; Utrecht: 80% over 2.5 goals) and H2H suggest goals, with betting tips favoring BTTS (1.85) and over 2.5 goals (2.00). Cards may be issued in the 22°C evening, with Zrinjski’s 10 fouls and Utrecht’s 11 per game suggesting 3-4 cards. Zrinjski aim to repeat their 2019 upset, while Utrecht seek to assert their improved form. The winner advances to the Europa League league phase; the loser enters the Conference League. Zrinjski may score through Bilbija, with De Wit and Blake likely netting for Utrecht. Utrecht’s attacking momentum should secure a narrow away win, though Zrinjski’s home form and H2H edge keep it competitive, setting up a tight second leg.
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