21st Aug. UEFA Europa League - Brann VS AEK Larnaca Prediction
UEFA Europa League - Brann VS AEK Larnaca
Match Time:22-08-2025 01:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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SK Brann
Brann, coached by Freyr Alexandersson, advanced past BK Häcken with a 2-1 aggregate win (2-0 away, 0-1 home) in the third qualifying round on August 14, 2025. Their recent form includes three wins, one draw, and one loss in five competitive matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, with a 2-1 league win over Tromsø on August 17, 2025. Key players include Saevar Magnusson (2 goals vs Häcken), Joachim Soltvedt, and Emil Kornvig, with a probable 4-3-3 lineup: Dyngeland; Pedersen, Helland, Larsen, Soltvedt; Myhre, Sørensen, Kornvig; Mathisen, Magnusson, Gudmundsson. Strengths include their attacking form (5 goals in 3 home games) and defensive resilience (3 clean sheets in 5), but the absence of Felix Horn Myhre (doubtful, thigh injury) and a missed penalty by Soltvedt vs Häcken are concerns. They aim to secure a first-leg lead, leveraging their strong home record (2-0-0 in qualifiers).
AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca, led by Juan Ferrando, progressed past Legia Warszawa with a 5-3 aggregate win (4-1 home, 1-2 away) in the third qualifying round on August 14, 2025. Their recent form shows three wins and two losses in five matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. They have yet to start their domestic season, focusing solely on European qualifiers. Key players include Yerson Chacón (2 goals, 1 assist), Karol Angielski, and Pere Pons, with a probable 4-3-3 lineup: Alomerović; Ekpolo, Miličević, Roberge, García; Ledes, Miramón, Pons; Ivanović, Angielski, Chacón. Strengths include their attacking output (9 goals in 4 qualifiers), but Jeremie Gnali’s suspension (red card vs Legia) and lack of domestic match rhythm are issues. They aim to secure a result for the second leg in Cyprus on August 27, 2025.
Head-to-Head
This is the first competitive meeting between Brann and AEK Larnaca. No historical data exists, but Brann’s 2-1 aggregate win over Häcken and AEK’s 5-3 win over Legia suggest high-scoring tendencies. Comparable matches average 2.7 goals, with 70% both teams scoring (BTTS) and 60% over 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: SK Brann 2-1 AEK Larnaca
Brann’s Magnusson and Kornvig face AEK’s Chacón and Angielski, with Brann’s home strength and defensive form tested by AEK’s attacking threat. Brann are favorites (1.66 odds, 60% win probability) over AEK (4.50), with a draw at 3.80. Trends (Brann: 60% over 2.5 goals; AEK: 80% BTTS) suggest a lively game, with betting tips favoring BTTS (1.75) and over 2.5 goals (1.90). Cards are likely in the 17°C evening, with Brann’s 11 fouls and AEK’s 12 per game suggesting 4-5 cards. Brann aim to capitalize on home advantage, while AEK seek to stay competitive. The winner advances to the Europa League league phase; the loser enters the Conference League. Brann may score through Magnusson, with Chacón likely netting for AEK. Brann’s home form should secure a narrow win, but AEK’s attacking quality keeps it close, setting up a tight second leg.
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