28th Jan. UEFA Champions League---Atletico Madrid VS Bodo Glimt Prediction

UEFA Champions League - Atletico Madrid VS Bodo Glimt
Match Time:29-01-2026 04:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team News
Atletico Madrid are in strong domestic form (recent 3-0 La Liga win over Mallorca) and boast a remarkable 13-match winning streak at home across all competitions, conceding just once in their last three European home games. The Metropolitano is a fortress under Diego Simeone. Injuries hurt: Antoine Griezmann is out with a muscular issue (big loss for creativity and goals), Clément Lenglet doubtful (knee), plus José Giménez, Marcos Llorente, and Álex Baena sidelined. Expect Jan Oblak in goal, a backline with Marc Pubill prominent, midfield control from Pablo Barrios and Koke, and attack led by Julian Alvarez and Alexander Sørloth in a pragmatic 4-4-2 or similar—focused on structure, pressing, and striking first.
Bodø/Glimt arrive near full strength, with no major new injuries (Ola Brynhildsen out long-term, but core available; late checks on Sondre Fet and Håkon Evjen). Their high-intensity style shone in the Man City win (scoring three, high duels from Jens Petter Hauge). Expect Nikita Haikin in goal, a back four with Fredrik Sjøvold and others, midfield energy from Patrick Berg and Evjen, and attack featuring Hauge, Kasper Høgh, and Ole Blomberg in a 4-3-3. Away in Europe, they've struggled (just one win in last 12 trips, conceding regularly), but their scoring consistency (goals in most defeats) and counter threat remain dangerous.
Head to Head Analysis
No prior competitive meetings—first-ever clash. Atletico have a perfect record against Norwegian sides historically (six wins in six, aggregate 17-4), though this is their first under Simeone. Bodø/Glimt's European away form is poor against elite teams, but their recent giant-killing (Man City upset) adds unpredictability. Games involving Bodø/Glimt often see goals (both teams scoring in several), while Atletico's home UCL matches are controlled and low-conceding lately. Expect Atletico to dominate possession and exploit spaces with quality, Bodø/Glimt pressing high early but vulnerable defensively on the road—likely a pragmatic, one-sided affair favoring the hosts.
Prediction
Atletico's home fortress, motivation for top-eight security, and tactical discipline make them heavy favorites—Simeone's men rarely drop points here against lesser-ranked sides, even with absences. Bodø/Glimt's flair and recent upset form could nick a goal on the counter, but their poor away record in Europe and Atletico's defensive solidity point to struggle. Expect a controlled win with goals from set pieces or transitions, minimal chances for the visitors.
Final Prediction: Atletico Madrid win 2-0 (or 3-1). Comfortable home victory—around 75% confidence in an Atletico win, with under 3.5 goals likely in a professional performance.
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