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28th Jan. UEFA Champions League---Borussia Dortmund VS Inter Milan Prediction
UEFA Champions League - Borussia Dortmund VS Inter Milan
Match Time:29-01-2026 04:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team News
Borussia Dortmund come off a strong domestic run (13 points from last five Bundesliga games, including wins over St. Pauli, Borussia Mönchengladbach, and Union Berlin), but their UCL form has been mixed (wins over Athletic Bilbao, Copenhagen, Villarreal; draws with Juventus and Bodo/Glimt; losses to Manchester City and Tottenham). Injuries hit hard: Niklas Süle (toe injury), Marcel Sabitzer (ongoing issue), and Maximilian Beier (muscle stiffness) are out, plus Patrick Drewes and Salih Özcan ineligible. Expect a 4-2-3-1 with Gregor Kobel in goal, a backline featuring Emre Can or others for stability, midfield energy from Julian Brandt (if fit) or alternatives, and attack led by Serhou Guirassy's threat plus wing pace. Dortmund's high-pressing style and home atmosphere should create intensity, though defensive vulnerabilities (15 goals conceded in UCL) remain.
Inter Milan, top of Serie A domestically (strong league form with recent wins), have stuttered in Europe (wins in first four, but three straight losses including a 3-1 home defeat to Arsenal). Injuries include Raffaele Di Gennaro (scaphoid fracture), Matteo Darmian (calf), Tomás Palacios (hamstring), and Denzel Dumfries (ankle, long-term out until March). Hakan Çalhanoğlu (calf) is doubtful and likely rested. Expect a compact setup under coach (likely Cristian Chivu interim influence) with Yann Sommer in goal, a solid back three or four, midfield control from Nicolo Barella and others, and forwards Lautaro Martínez and Marcus Thuram providing shot volume and movement. Inter's tactical discipline and counter-threat make them dangerous, but recent finishing has dipped.
Head to Head Analysis
History favors Inter slightly overall (three wins to Dortmund's two, one draw in six European meetings), but recent clashes have been dramatic—Dortmund's last win was a 3-2 comeback in 2019 after trailing 2-0 at halftime. Dortmund are strong at home against Inter (one win, one draw, one loss in three European hosting), with high-scoring games common (average over 4 goals in those). Inter have struggled lately in big away UCL ties, but their organization frustrates high-pressing sides. Expect a tense, open battle—Dortmund pushing with home energy and set pieces, Inter sitting deeper to exploit transitions. Goals likely from quality moments, with both attacks potent but defenses tested.
Prediction
Dortmund's impressive home UCL fortress (rare losses, strong recent domestic momentum) gives them an edge in this must-win scenario—the Yellow Wall atmosphere could overwhelm Inter, who arrive with injury concerns and a three-game European losing streak. Inter's quality (Lautaro and Thuram threats) and discipline make them tough, but their away vulnerabilities and need for results elsewhere tilt it toward the hosts. Expect a high-intensity game with goals, but Dortmund grinding out the points through pressure and home resilience.
Final Prediction: Borussia Dortmund win 2-1 (or 3-2 in an end-to-end thriller). Hosts to claim vital victory—around 60% confidence in a Dortmund win, with over 2.5 goals probable given attacking strengths and stakes.
From:Preview
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