25th Nov. UEFA Champions League---Marseille VS Newcastle United Prediction
UEFA Champions League - Marseille VS Newcastle United
Match Time:26-11-2025 04:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Marseille are entering this UEFA Champions League league phase Matchday 5 clash at Stade Vélodrome on November 25, 2025, in a tough spot, sitting 25th with 3 points from 4 matches (1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses). Their recent form shows one win and three losses in the last four Champions League games, including a 1-0 home loss to Atalanta and a 4-0 win over Ajax. They've scored 4 goals and conceded 8, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded per game. At home, Marseille have 1 win in 2 UCL games, but lost their last home match to Atalanta. Coach Roberto De Zerbi's 4-2-3-1 relies on Mason Greenwood's flair (1 goal) and Pierre-Emery Aubameyang's finishing (1 goal). Injuries to Benjamin Pavard (knee) and Geoffrey Kondogbia (calf) are concerns, with Emerson Palmieri back from suspension. Marseille will leverage their home crowd to return to winning ways, addressing their winless streak against English sides in Europe (last win vs. Chelsea in 2010).
Newcastle United are in strong momentum, sitting 8th with 9 points from 4 matches (3 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). Their recent form includes three straight UCL wins after an opening loss to Barcelona, with a 2-0 victory over Athletic Bilbao. They've scored 9 goals and conceded 0 in those wins, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game. Away form is solid, with 1 win in 2 UCL road games. Coach Eddie Howe's 4-3-3 relies on Anthony Gordon's pace (2 goals) and Harvey Barnes's creativity (2 assists). Injuries to Will Osula (ankle), Yoane Wissa (knee), Kieran Trippier (knock), and Harrison Ashby (thigh) are concerns, but Joelinton is available. Newcastle will aim for a fourth straight UCL win, their first in club history, exploiting Marseille's defensive issues.
Head to Head
Marseille and Newcastle have met twice in competitive European fixtures, both in the 2003-04 UEFA Cup semifinals, with Marseille winning 2-0 on aggregate (0-0 home, 2-0 away). Matches averaged 1.0 goal, with no both teams scoring. Marseille are winless in their last 12 games against English sides in Europe (3 draws, 9 losses), their last win a 1-0 over Chelsea in 2010. Newcastle have faced French sides 9 times away in Europe, winning once (4-0 at Sochaux in 2004). Marseille's 1-0 Atalanta loss and Newcastle's 2-0 Bilbao win suggest Newcastle's current edge.
Prediction
Newcastle's three-game UCL winning streak (9 goals, 0 conceded) and Marseille's winless run against English teams (12 games) make the visitors favorites. Marseille's home form (1 win in 2 UCL games) and Greenwood's threat could challenge, but Newcastle's momentum should prevail. I predict a 2-1 Newcastle win, with Gordon and Barnes scoring, and Greenwood replying for Marseille. Newcastle's win probability is around 45%, reflecting their 2-0 Bilbao win and Marseille's 1-0 Atalanta loss. Expect Newcastle to edge possession (around 48%) and corners (6-8), with Marseille relying on counters. The game will be tight, with Newcastle aiming for history and Marseille fighting to climb the table.
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