25th Nov. UEFA Champions League---Manchester City VS Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
UEFA Champions League - Manchester City VS Bayer Leverkusen
Match Time:26-11-2025 04:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Manchester City are entering this UEFA Champions League League Phase Matchday 5 clash at Etihad Stadium on November 25, 2025, in a transitional phase, sitting 4th with 10 points from 4 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses). Their recent form shows three wins and one draw in the last four league games, including a 4-1 victory over Borussia Dortmund and a 1-2 loss to Newcastle United in the Premier League. They've scored 11 goals and conceded 4 in the Champions League, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. At home, City are unbeaten in their last 23 Champions League group/league matches (20 wins, 3 draws), with 49 goals scored against German opposition in the last 13 home games. Coach Pep Guardiola's 4-3-3 (marking his 100th UCL game) relies on Erling Haaland's finishing (scoring in 5 straight UCL games) and Jérémy Doku's pace. John Stones, Tijjani Reijnders, and Savinho are available for rotation after the Newcastle loss. City will leverage their home dominance to press high against Leverkusen, aiming for a third straight UCL win.
Bayer Leverkusen are revitalized under Kasper Hjulmand, sitting 2nd in the Bundesliga after a 3-1 win over Wolfsburg. In the Champions League, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss from 4 matches, including a 1-0 win at Benfica and a heavy loss to PSG. They've scored 6 goals and conceded 8, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Away form is poor against English teams, with 1 win in 10 UCL visits (vs. Tottenham in 2016) and a 4-0 loss to Liverpool last season. Hjulmand's 4-2-3-1 depends on Patrik Schick's finishing (leading scorer) and Jonas Hofmann's creativity. Robert Andrich is suspended, with Exequiel Palacios, Alejo Sarco, Alejandro Grimaldo, Lucas Vázquez, Equi Fernández, and Axel Tape out (injuries or ineligibility). Leverkusen will aim for a defensive setup and counters, chasing their 50th European Cup win.
Head to Head
This is the first competitive meeting between Manchester City and Bayer Leverkusen, with no prior UEFA encounters. City have a strong record against German teams, winning 24 of 38 (6 draws, 8 losses), including 13 straight home wins against Bundesliga sides (49-13 aggregate). Leverkusen have lost 8 of 10 UCL away games in England, with their only win vs. Tottenham in 2016. City's 4-1 Dortmund win and Leverkusen's 1-0 Benfica victory suggest City's attacking edge, but Leverkusen's resilience (only 3 losses in 20 UCL group games) could make it competitive.
Prediction
City's unbeaten home streak (23 games) and Haaland's form (5 straight UCL goals) make them favorites against Leverkusen's injury-hit squad and poor English away record (1 win in 10). Leverkusen's defensive issues (2.0 conceded per game) will be tested by City's press. I predict a 3-1 City win, with Haaland, Foden, and Doku scoring, and Schick replying for Leverkusen. City's win probability is around 65%, reflecting their 4-1 Dortmund win and Leverkusen's PSG loss. Expect City to dominate possession (around 60%) and corners (8-10), with Leverkusen limited to counters. The game will see City's technical precision overwhelm Leverkusen, with Guardiola marking his 100th UCL game with a win.
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