19th Nov. Brazil Serie A---Palmeiras VS Vitoria BA Prediction
Brazil Serie A - Palmeiras VS Vitoria BA
Match Time:20-11-2025 06:30 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Palmeiras are entering this Brazil Serie A Matchday 28 clash at Allianz Parque, São Paulo, on October 16, 2025, in strong form, sitting top with 55 points from 25 matches (17 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses). Their recent form includes a dramatic 2-1 win over São Paulo (October 5, 2025), with Raphael Veiga scoring the winner. They've scored 42 goals and conceded 21, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. At home, Palmeiras have won 7 of 10 league games, with Weverton keeping 3 clean sheets. Coach Abel Ferreira's 4-2-3-1 relies on Vitor Roque's finishing (10 goals) and Veiga's creativity (7 assists). Gustavo Gómez, Aníbal Moreno, Flaco López, Emi Martínez, Facundo Torres, Vitor Roque (suspension), Khellven, and Ramón Sosa are out, but the squad's depth remains strong. Palmeiras will use their fanatical crowd to extend their lead over Flamengo.
Vitória BA are struggling, sitting 17th with 25 points from 27 matches (7 wins, 4 draws, 16 losses). Their recent form shows a 4-3 loss to Vasco da Gama (October 6, 2025), despite leading 3-1 at halftime. They've scored 30 goals and conceded 44, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Away form is poor, with only 2 wins in 13 road games. Coach Thiago Carpini's 4-2-3-1 depends on Janderson's finishing (8 goals) and Matheuzinho's creativity (3 assists). Renzo López is out (injury), but the team's fighting spirit in the Vasco comeback offers hope. Vitória will aim to stay compact and counter, fighting to avoid relegation.
Head to Head
Palmeiras and Vitória have met 17 times since 2004, with Palmeiras winning 8, Vitória 5, and 4 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game. Palmeiras won the last two encounters, including a 1-0 home win in 2024. At Allianz Parque, Palmeiras are unbeaten in 6 (4 wins, 2 draws). Both teams scored in 50% of the last 5, but Palmeiras kept 3 clean sheets in the last 4. Palmeiras' 2-1 São Paulo win and Vitória's 4-3 Vasco loss suggest Palmeiras' edge, but Vitória's resilience keeps it competitive.
Prediction
Palmeiras' home dominance (7 wins in 10) and attacking strength (1.7 goals per game) make them favorites against Vitória's poor away record (2 wins in 13) and defensive issues (1.6 conceded per game). Vitória's comeback spirit could threaten, but Palmeiras' depth should prevail. I predict a 2-0 Palmeiras win, with Roque or Veiga scoring, and Vitória unable to break through. Palmeiras' win probability is around 60%, reflecting their 2-1 São Paulo win and Vitória's 4-3 Vasco loss. Expect Palmeiras to control possession (around 58%) and corners (7-9), with Vitória relying on counters. The game will be controlled by Palmeiras, securing three points to maintain their title lead.
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