19th Nov. Indonesia Liga 2---PSMS Medan VS PSPS Pekanbaru Prediction

Indonesia Liga 2 - PSMS Medan VS PSPS Pekanbaru
Match Time:19-11-2025 20:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
PSMS Medan are entering this Indonesia Liga 2 (Championship 2025/2026, Group 1) Matchday 5 clash at Stadion Teladan, Medan, on October 20, 2025, in a strong position, sitting 2nd in Group 1 with 10 points from 4 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses). Their recent form includes three wins and one draw in the last four league games, with a 2-0 win over Sriwijaya FC and a 1-0 victory over Persekat Tegal earlier this season. They've scored 7 goals and conceded 1, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game. At home, PSMS are unbeaten in three, with their goalkeeper keeping two clean sheets. Coach's 4-2-3-1 relies on a key striker's finishing (3 goals) and winger's pace. No major injuries are reported. PSMS will aim to maintain their unbeaten run and exploit PSPS's defensive issues, targeting the group lead.
PSPS Pekanbaru are struggling, sitting 9th in Group 1 with 1 point from 4 matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their recent form includes a 3-1 loss to PSMS Medan and a 1-1 draw against Garudayaksa FC, scoring 3 goals and conceding 8 in the last four. They've scored 6 goals and conceded 10, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. Away form is poor, with no wins in three road games. Coach's 4-2-3-1 depends on a forward's finishing (1 goal) and midfielder's energy. No major injuries are noted, but their five-game winless run adds pressure. PSPS will focus on defensive compactness and counters, seeking their first win to escape the group basement.
Head to Head
PSMS Medan and PSPS Pekanbaru have met three times in recent seasons, with PSMS winning two and one draw. PSMS won the last two encounters, including a 3-1 home victory earlier this season. Matches average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of encounters, suggesting a potentially open game. PSMS's recent dominance gives them a psychological edge, but PSPS's 1-1 Garudayaksa draw shows resilience.
Prediction
PSMS's unbeaten home run (3 games) and superior attack (1.8 goals per game) make them favorites against PSPS's poor away form (0 wins in 3) and defensive struggles (2.5 conceded per game). PSPS's energy could create chances, but PSMS's consistency should prevail. I predict a 2-1 PSMS win, with their striker and winger scoring, and PSPS's forward replying. PSMS's win probability is around 55%, reflecting their 2-0 Sriwijaya win and PSPS's 3-1 PSMS loss. Expect PSMS to control possession (around 52%) and corners (6-8), with PSPS relying on counters. The game will be competitive, with PSMS securing three points to stay in the promotion hunt.
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