13th Nov. FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)---France VS Ukraine Prediction
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) - France VS Ukraine
Match Time:14-11-2025 03:45 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
France are entering this FIFA World Cup 2026 UEFA Qualifier Group D Matchday 3 clash at Stade de France, Saint-Denis, on November 14, 2025, in dominant form, sitting top of Group D with 9 points from three matches (3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses). Their recent form shows three wins in their last five competitive matches, including a 4-1 thrashing of Belgium and a 2-0 victory over Luxembourg, scoring 10 goals and conceding 3, averaging 3.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. At home, France are unbeaten in their last five qualifiers, with goalkeeper Mike Maignan keeping three clean sheets. Coach Didier Deschamps' 4-3-3 relies on Kylian Mbappé's finishing (three goals) and Antoine Griezmann's creativity (two assists). Injuries to Ousmane Dembélé (thigh), Eduardo Camavinga (knee), and doubts over Aurélien Tchouaméni (ankle) are concerns, but William Saliba and Dayot Upamecano are available. France will leverage their home crowd to dominate possession, aiming for a fourth straight win to secure qualification.
Ukraine are in a tough spot, sitting 4th in Group D with 3 points from three matches (1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses). Their recent form includes a 3-1 win over Georgia but losses to Belgium (0-3) and Iceland (0-2), scoring 4 goals and conceding 6, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Away form is poor, with no wins in their last three road games. Coach Serhiy Rebrov's 4-2-3-1 depends on Mykhailo Mudryk's pace (two goals) and Artem Dovbyk's finishing (one goal). Injuries to Oleksandr Zinchenko (calf) and Illia Zabarnyi (hamstring) weaken their defense, but Andriy Yarmolenko is fit. Ukraine will focus on defensive solidity and counters, hoping to exploit France's injury concerns for a surprise result.
Head to Head
France lead the historical record, winning 7 of 10 meetings with Ukraine since 2004 (2 draws, 1 Ukraine win), averaging 2.5 goals per game. France won the last two encounters, including a 3-0 friendly in October 2023 and a 1-0 UEFA Nations League win in 2020. At Stade de France, France have won all 4 home games against Ukraine, with 3 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 40% of the last 5, but France's recent dominance (5-0 aggregate) gives them a strong psychological edge. Ukraine's 3-1 Georgia win and France's 4-1 Belgium thrashing suggest a competitive but France-leaning game.
Prediction
France's perfect qualifying record and home dominance (unbeaten in 5) make them heavy favorites against Ukraine's inconsistent away form and defensive injuries. Ukraine's Mudryk and Dovbyk could threaten on counters, but France's depth should prevail. I predict a 2-0 France win, with Mbappé and Griezmann scoring, and Ukraine failing to break through. France's win probability is around 75%, reflecting their 4-1 Belgium win and Ukraine's 0-2 Iceland loss. Expect France to control possession (around 62%) and corners (8-10), with Ukraine's press limited. The game will be one-sided, with France securing three points to maintain their Group D lead.
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