9th Sep. FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)---France VS Iceland Prediction
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) - France VS Iceland
Match Time:10-09-2025 02:45 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
France are entering this FIFA World Cup 2026 UEFA Qualifier Group D match at Parc des Princes in Paris as heavy favorites, sitting first in the group with three points from their 2-0 win over Ukraine on September 5, 2025, where Michael Olise and Kylian Mbappé scored. Their recent form is solid, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, scoring seven goals and conceding four, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. At home, France are formidable, unbeaten in their last five competitive matches, with goalkeeper Mike Maignan keeping two clean sheets. Coach Didier Deschamps’ 4-3-3 relies on Mbappé’s pace (two goals in qualifiers) and Antoine Griezmann’s creativity. Despite Ousmane Dembélé’s injury, France’s depth, with Randal Kolo Muani stepping in, remains strong. They’ll aim to dominate possession and exploit Iceland’s defense with their attacking flair and passionate home crowd.
Iceland are second in Group D, also with three points after a 5-0 thrashing of Azerbaijan on September 5, 2025, led by Albert Guðmundsson and Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson’s braces. Their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, scoring eight goals and conceding five, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Away form is weaker, with no wins in their last three road games, including a 1-0 loss to Northern Ireland in June 2025. Coach Åge Hareide’s 4-4-2 depends on Guðmundsson’s finishing and Jóhannesson’s versatility. No major injuries are reported, but Iceland will need to stay compact and rely on counters to challenge France’s home dominance, facing a steep challenge against a top-tier side.
Head to Head
France hold a dominant historical edge over Iceland, winning 11 of their 16 meetings since 1957, with four draws and one Iceland victory, per historical data. Their most recent clash was a 1-0 France win in a Euro 2020 qualifier on October 11, 2019, with Olivier Giroud scoring. In Paris, France are unbeaten against Iceland, including a 4-0 win in 2019 and a 5-2 rout at Euro 2016. Iceland’s sole win was a 1-0 friendly in 1998. Matches average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 31% of encounters, suggesting a potentially one-sided affair. France’s 4-0 and 2-2 results in recent meetings give them a psychological edge, but Iceland’s 5-0 Azerbaijan win shows they can score freely.
Prediction
France’s home dominance, attacking depth, and historical edge make them heavy favorites against an Iceland side with a strong recent result but poor away form. I predict a 3-0 win for France, with Mbappé or Kolo Muani likely scoring, while Maignan keeps a clean sheet. France’s win probability is around 80%, reflecting their unbeaten home record and Iceland’s winless away streak. Expect France to control possession (around 60%) and corners (9-11 projected), with Iceland’s counters through Guðmundsson posing a limited threat. The game should see France’s wingers overwhelm Iceland’s defense, building on their 4-0 2019 win, for a comfortable victory.
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