4th Sep. FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)---Netherlands VS Poland Prediction
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) - Netherlands VS Poland
Match Time:05-09-2025 02:45 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Netherlands are entering this FIFA World Cup 2026 UEFA Qualifier Group G match at Stadion Feijenoord in Rotterdam as strong favorites, sitting second in the group with six points from two matches. Their recent form is impressive, with four wins and one loss in their last five games, including an 8-0 thrashing of Malta in June 2025, where Cody Gakpo and Wout Weghorst combined for five goals, per UEFA.com. At home, the Dutch are formidable, unbeaten in their last five competitive matches, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Coach Ronald Koeman’s 4-3-3 leverages Virgil van Dijk’s defensive solidity and Frenkie de Jong’s midfield control, with Brian Brobbey likely leading the line due to his form (two goals vs. Malta). No major injuries are reported, so the Netherlands will aim to dominate possession and exploit Poland’s inconsistent defense with their attacking depth and vocal home crowd.
Poland, ranked 28th globally, are third in Group G with six points from three matches but face a tough challenge. Their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, including a 2-1 loss to Finland in June 2025, per UEFA.com. Away form is a concern, with no wins in their last three road games, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per match. Coach Michał Probierz’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Robert Lewandowski’s finishing (one goal in qualifiers) and Piotr Zieliński’s creativity, but defensive lapses, especially against top sides, are evident. No major injuries are noted, but Poland will need to stay compact and rely on counters to challenge the Netherlands’ high press, hoping to repeat their 2-2 draw in Rotterdam in 2022.
Head to Head
The Netherlands hold a strong historical edge over Poland, with seven wins, three draws, and two losses in 12 meetings since 1979, per UEFA.com. Their most recent clash was a 2-0 Dutch victory in the UEFA Nations League on September 22, 2022, with goals from Gakpo and Steven Bergwijn. In Rotterdam, the Netherlands are unbeaten against Poland in their last four encounters (three wins, one draw), including a 2-2 draw in the 2022 Nations League. Matches average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of recent games, per historical data. Poland’s last win over the Netherlands was a 2-0 Euro qualifier in 1979, but their recent competitiveness (e.g., 2-2 in 2022) suggests they can pose a threat.
Prediction
The Netherlands’ dominant home form, attacking firepower, and historical edge make them clear favorites against a Poland side struggling on the road. I predict a 2-1 win for the Netherlands, with Gakpo or Brobbey likely scoring, though Lewandowski could nick a goal on a counter or set piece. The Netherlands’ win probability is around 68%, reflecting their 8-0 Malta rout and Poland’s away woes, per Sofascore. Expect the Dutch to control possession (around 58%) and corners (8-10 projected), with Poland’s counters testing Denzel Dumfries’s flank. The game should see the Netherlands’ midfield, led by de Jong, overpower Poland’s defense, building on their 2-0 2022 win, but Poland’s resilience could keep it close.
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