4th Sep. FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)---Slovakia VS Germany Prediction
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) - Slovakia VS Germany
Match Time:05-09-2025 02:45 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Slovakia are entering this FIFA World Cup 2026 UEFA Qualifier Group A match at Tehelné pole in Bratislava with a solid but unspectacular start to their campaign. Sitting third in the group, they’ve shown resilience, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches across all competitions, scoring six goals and conceding five, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. At home, Slovakia are tough, unbeaten in their last three competitive matches, with goalkeeper Martin Dúbravka keeping one clean sheet. Coach Francesco Calzona’s 4-3-3 relies on Stanislav Lobotka’s midfield control and Dávid Hancko’s defensive solidity, with Róbert Boženík up top (one goal in qualifiers). No major injuries are reported, so Slovakia will aim to use their home crowd’s energy to challenge Germany’s attack, focusing on set pieces and counters to secure points.
Germany, ranked among UEFA’s elite, are favorites in Group A after a strong UEFA Nations League run, including a 5-4 aggregate win over Italy. Their recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five, scoring nine goals and conceding six, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Away form is inconsistent, with one win in their last three road games, including a 2-0 loss to France. Coach Julian Nagelsmann’s 4-2-3-1 leverages Florian Wirtz’s creativity (two goals in qualifiers) and Kai Havertz’s versatility. Minor knocks to a midfielder could see adjustments, but Germany’s depth, with players like Jamal Musiala, should overpower Slovakia’s defense. They’ll aim to dominate possession and exploit spaces, though their away defensive lapses could give Slovakia hope.
Head to Head
Germany hold a historical edge over Slovakia, winning three of their last five meetings since 2005, with Slovakia winning one and one draw, per historical data. Their most recent clash was a 3-0 Germany victory at Euro 2016, with goals from Jérôme Boateng, Mario Gómez, and Julian Draxler. Slovakia’s lone win was a 3-1 friendly upset in 2016, exploiting Germany’s defensive errors. At Bratislava, Slovakia drew 0-0 in a 2005 friendly, their only non-loss against Germany at home. Matches average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of encounters, suggesting a competitive but potentially low-scoring affair. Germany’s recent dominance gives them a psychological edge, but Slovakia’s home resilience could make it tight.
Prediction
Germany’s attacking quality and depth make them favorites, but Slovakia’s home form and defensive organization could pose problems. I predict a 2-1 win for Germany, with Wirtz or Havertz likely scoring, while Boženík could nick one for Slovakia on a counter or set piece. Germany’s win probability is around 67%, reflecting their superior quality, though Slovakia’s home record keeps it close. Expect Germany to control possession (around 58%) and corners (8-10 projected), with Slovakia’s counters and Dúbravka’s saves (3.5 per game in qualifiers) keeping it competitive. The game should see Germany’s wingers test Slovakia’s flanks, building on their 3-0 Euro 2016 win, but Slovakia’s grit could make it a narrow contest.
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