4th Sep. International Friendly---Norway VS Finland Prediction
International Friendly - Norway VS Finland
Match Time:05-09-2025 00:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Norway are entering this International Friendly at Ullevaal Stadion in top form, riding a six-match winning streak across all competitions. Sitting atop UEFA World Cup 2026 Qualifying Group I with four wins from four, including a 3-0 rout of Italy, Norway’s attack is firing, averaging 2.5 goals per game, led by Erling Braut Haaland (three goals in qualifiers). Their defense, anchored by Leo Østigård and Andreas Hanche-Olsen, has kept four clean sheets in their last five matches. Coach Ståle Solbakken’s 4-3-3 leverages Martin Ødegaard’s creativity (66 caps) and Antonio Nusa’s pace. Despite Jørgen Strand Larsen’s potential absence due to fitness concerns, Norway’s depth remains strong, with no other major injuries reported. The home crowd will push Norway to maintain their momentum ahead of their World Cup qualifier against Moldova, aiming to dominate possession and exploit Finland’s defense.
Finland are evolving under new management after Markku Kanerva’s departure, sitting atop World Cup Qualifying Group G with seven points from four matches, including a 2-1 upset over Poland, where Joel Pohjanpalo scored. Their recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Away form is a concern, with no wins in their last three road games, including a 1-1 draw at North Macedonia. Their 4-2-3-1 setup relies on Pohjanpalo’s finishing (two goals in qualifiers) and Teemu Pukki’s experience, but defensive lapses could be exposed. No major injuries are reported, so Finland will aim to stay compact and counter, but facing Norway’s firepower on the road is a tough challenge.
Head to Head
Norway hold a strong historical edge over Finland, with three wins and two draws in their last five meetings since 2009. Their most recent clash was a 1-1 draw on November 20, 2022, in a friendly, with Norway dominating possession but conceding late. Norway won 2-0 in a 2016 friendly, with Jo Inge Berget and Stefan Johansen scoring, and 2-0 in 2013. At Ullevaal Stadion, Norway are unbeaten in their last three against Finland (two wins, one draw), including a 2-0 victory in 2009. Matches average 2.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of recent encounters, suggesting a low-scoring but competitive game. Norway’s unbeaten run against Finland gives them a psychological edge, per historical data.
Prediction
Norway’s exceptional form, home dominance, and attacking depth make them clear favorites against a Finland side that’s improving but struggles away. I predict a 2-0 win for Norway, with Haaland or Ødegaard likely scoring, while goalkeeper Ørjan Nyland keeps a clean sheet. Norway’s win probability is around 68%, reflecting their six-game winning streak and Finland’s winless away run. Expect Norway to control possession (around 58%) and corners (8-10 projected), with Finland’s counters through Pohjanpalo their main threat. The game should see Norway’s wingers exploit Finland’s flanks, building on their 3-0 Italy win, for a comfortable victory.
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