4th Sep. FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)---Georgia VS Turkey Prediction
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) - Georgia VS Turkey
Match Time:05-09-2025 00:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Georgia are entering this FIFA World Cup 2026 UEFA Qualifier Group E match at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena with confidence, sitting third in the group but buoyed by their historic Euro 2024 qualification. Their recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, scoring eight goals and conceding four, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. At home, Georgia are tough, unbeaten in their last four competitive matches, with goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili keeping two clean sheets. Coach Willy Sagnol’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Khvicha Kvaratskhelia’s flair (two goals in qualifiers) and Giorgi Chakvetadze’s creativity. No major injuries are reported, so Georgia will aim to exploit Turkey’s inconsistent away form with a high press and vocal home support, targeting a crucial win to boost their qualification hopes.
Turkey, ranked higher but struggling for consistency, sit second in Group E after a mixed start. Their recent form includes two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five, scoring seven goals and conceding five, averaging 1.4 goals scored and one conceded per game. Away from home, they’ve been shaky, winning just one of their last four road games, including a 3-0 loss to the Netherlands in Euro 2024. Coach Vincenzo Montella’s 4-3-3 depends on Hakan Çalhanoğlu’s midfield control and Kerem Aktürkoğlu’s pace (one goal in qualifiers). Minor knocks to a defender could see adjustments, but Turkey will look to dominate possession and counter Georgia’s intensity. Their defensive lapses, conceding in 60% of recent games, could be a concern against Georgia’s attacking threat.
Head to Head
Georgia and Turkey have met four times since 2002, with Turkey winning three and one draw, per historical data. Their most recent clash was a 3-1 Turkey victory at Euro 2024 on June 18, 2024, with goals from Mert Müldür, Arda Güler, and Aktürkoğlu, while Georges Mikautadze scored for Georgia. In Tbilisi, Georgia held Turkey to a 0-0 draw in a 2011 friendly, their only non-loss in this fixture. Matches average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in two of the four games. Turkey’s dominance, including a 5-2 win in a 2006 World Cup qualifier, gives them a psychological edge, but Georgia’s home resilience and recent upset potential (e.g., beating Spain at Euro 2016) keep this competitive.
Prediction
Georgia’s strong home form and Kvaratskhelia’s flair make them a threat, but Turkey’s experience and attacking quality give them a slight edge. I predict a 1-1 draw, with Kvaratskhelia likely scoring for Georgia and Aktürkoğlu or Çalhanoğlu replying for Turkey. Turkey’s win-or-draw probability is around 66%, reflecting their historical edge, but Georgia’s home grit (unbeaten in four) could force a stalemate. Expect a tight game with Turkey edging possession (around 52%) and both teams pushing for corners (8-10 projected). Georgia’s high press should test Turkey’s defense, but Montella’s side has enough quality to avoid defeat in this crucial qualifier.
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