3rd Sep. England FA Cup---Exmouth Town VS Shaftesbury Town Prediction
England FA Cup - Exmouth Town VS Shaftesbury Town
Match Time:04-09-2025 02:45 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Exmouth Town are entering this FA Cup First Qualifying Round replay at Southern Road with confidence after a strong showing in their initial tie. Sitting mid-table in the Southern League Division One South, they’ve had a mixed start to the 2025/26 season, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, scoring six goals and conceding five. At home, they’re formidable, unbeaten in their last three competitive games, including a 4-0 league win over Bristol Manor Farm, where Aaron Denny and Matt Wright scored, per. Their 4-2-3-1 setup, led by manager Kevin Hill, relies on Wright’s aerial threat and Ethan Slater’s midfield drive. Despite Aaron Dearing’s recent ankle injury, Josh Cann is a capable deputy in goal. The home crowd will push Exmouth to capitalize on their recent 1-1 draw at Shaftesbury, where Slater’s header secured a replay.
Shaftesbury Town, also in the Southern League Division One South, are struggling, sitting 18th with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five, scoring seven goals but conceding 10. Their away form is poor, with no wins in their last three road games, including a 5-2 loss at Mousehole. Shaftesbury’s 4-4-2 thrives on high-scoring games, as seen in their FA Cup run with wins over Baffins Milton Rovers and Thatcham, but their defense leaks goals (two per game). No major injuries are reported, so their manager will lean on their free-scoring attack, led by players like Luke Holmes, to counter Exmouth’s pressure. After a late rocket salvaged a 1-1 draw in the first leg, Shaftesbury will aim to stay compact and exploit counters.
Head to Head
Exmouth Town and Shaftesbury Town have met twice recently. Their most recent clash was the FA Cup First Qualifying Round tie on August 30, 2025, ending 1-1, with Exmouth’s Ethan Slater scoring and Shaftesbury replying with a stunning 25-yard strike in added time, per. The other meeting was a 2-1 Shaftesbury league win on February 8, 2025, at home, where they dominated possession on their 3G pitch, per. At Southern Road, Exmouth have the edge, as Shaftesbury haven’t won there in recent memory. Matches average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in both encounters, suggesting a tight, competitive replay.
Prediction
Exmouth Town’s strong home form and Shaftesbury’s defensive struggles on the road make the hosts favorites. I predict a 2-1 win for Exmouth Town, with Matt Wright or Slater likely scoring, possibly from a set piece, while Shaftesbury could nick one on the counter. Exmouth’s win probability is around 66%, reflecting their home dominance and Shaftesbury’s away woes. Expect Exmouth to edge possession (around 52%) and corners (7-9 projected), with Shaftesbury’s high press keeping it close. The game should see both teams trading chances, building on their 1-1 draw, with Exmouth’s home crowd proving the difference.
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