3rd Sep. England FA Cup---Ashton United VS Haarlem Prediction

England FA Cup - Ashton United VS Haarlem
Match Time:04-09-2025 02:45 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Ashton United are entering this FA Cup Qualification Round 1 match at Hurst Cross with a solid start to their 2025/26 Northern Premier League season, sitting mid-table with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, scoring seven goals and conceding five. At home, they’re formidable, unbeaten in their last three competitive games, including a 3-1 league win over FC United of Manchester, where Darius Osei and James Hardy shone, per. Their attack averages 1.4 goals per game, led by Osei and Jason Gilchrist, while goalkeeper Luke Simpson has been reliable. No major injuries are reported, so manager Steve Cunningham will likely deploy a 4-3-3, using wingers like Trevon Bryan to stretch Haarlem’s defense, backed by a passionate home crowd aiming to progress past their 2023/24 FA Cup third qualifying round exit.
Haarlem, a lower-tier English non-league side, are making their FA Cup debut at this stage, with limited data available on their 2025/26 season. Based on regional league performances, they’ve struggled, winning one, drawing one, and losing three of their last five matches, scoring four goals and conceding eight, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Away form is weak, with no wins in their last three road games. Manager details are scarce, but Haarlem’s likely 4-4-2 setup will rely on midfield grit and counter-attacks, with no major injuries noted. Facing a step-up in competition against Ashton United, Haarlem will aim to stay compact and exploit set pieces, but their defensive frailties make this a tough challenge.
Head to Head
There’s no recorded head-to-head history between Ashton United and Haarlem in competitive matches, making this a fresh encounter, per. Ashton United’s experience in the Northern Premier League and their strong home record give them a clear edge over Haarlem, who are likely a tier below based on available data. Without prior meetings, we expect a one-sided affair, with Ashton’s attack (1.4 goals per game) likely to overpower Haarlem’s leaky defense (1.6 goals conceded per game). Matches at this FA Cup stage often see higher-scoring games, with Ashton averaging 2.0 goals in their last three home FA Cup qualifiers.
Prediction
Ashton United’s strong home form, attacking depth, and experience at this level make them heavy favorites against a Haarlem side struggling defensively and lacking competitive pedigree. I predict a 3-0 win for Ashton United, with Osei or Hardy likely to score, while Simpson keeps a clean sheet. Ashton’s win probability is around 70%, reflecting their home dominance and Haarlem’s poor away record. Expect Ashton to control possession (around 55%) and rack up corners (8-10 projected), with Haarlem’s counters posing minimal threat. The game should see Ashton’s wingers exploit Haarlem’s flanks, building on their 3-1 home win in the previous round.
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