22nd. Aug. England Championship---Derby County VS Bristol City Prediction
England Championship - Derby County VS Bristol City
Match Time:23-08-2025 03:00 Saturday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Derby County
Derby County, coached by John Eustace, is struggling at 19th with 0 points after two losses: 3-1 at Stoke City and a 5-3 home defeat to Coventry City on August 16, 2025, where they led 3-2 before conceding three goals in seven minutes, as noted in the sports card above. Their recent form includes one win, one draw, and three losses in five competitive matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Key players include Carlton Morris (2 goals, 1 assist in Championship), Ebou Adams (8 tackles vs Coventry), and Callum Elder, with a probable 3-4-1-2 lineup: Zetterstrom; Sanderson, Batth, Clarke; Nyambe, Thompson, Ozoh, Elder; Adams; Jackson, Morris. Strengths include Morris’s scoring form, but defensive frailties (8 goals conceded in 2 games) and injuries to Curtis Nelson, Lars-Jorgen Salvesen, Sondre Langås, Corey Blackett-Taylor, and Owen Beck are major concerns. They aim for their first points, leveraging their home atmosphere.
Bristol City
Bristol City, led by Gerhard Struber, is 6th with 4 points after a 4-1 win at Sheffield United and a 0-0 draw vs Charlton Athletic on August 16, 2025. Their recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, including a 2-0 EFL Cup win over MK Dons. Key players include Scott Twine (2 goals, 1 assist), Anis Mehmeti (12 goals last season), and Max O’Leary (goalkeeper), with a probable 3-4-1-2 lineup: O’Leary; Tanner, McNally, Dickie; Sykes, Bird, Knight, Pring; Twine; Wells, Mehmeti. Strengths include their defensive solidity (2 clean sheets in 3) and Twine’s form, but injuries to Joe Williams, Cameron Pring (doubtful), and a historical struggle at Pride Park are issues. They aim to maintain their unbeaten run and build on their strong start.
Head-to-Head
As shown in the sports card above, Derby and Bristol City have met 27 times, with Derby winning 11, Bristol City 10, and 6 draws. Recent results include a 3-0 Derby win at home on August 31, 2024, and a 1-0 Bristol City win at Ashton Gate. At Pride Park, Derby lead 9-3-3, but Bristol City have won 6 of their last 8 overall meetings, including three 1-0 wins. Matches average 2.63 goals, with 33% both teams scoring (BTTS) and 33% under 2.5 goals recently, indicating tight contests.
Predicted Score: Derby County 1-1 Bristol City
Derby’s Morris and Adams face Bristol City’s Twine and Mehmeti, with Derby’s home form tested by Bristol City’s defensive resilience and recent H2H edge. Bristol City are slight favorites (2.50 odds, 40% win probability) over Derby (2.80), with a draw at 3.30. Trends (Derby: 100% over 2.5 goals; Bristol City: 33% BTTS) and H2H suggest a close game, with betting tips favoring double chance X2 (Bristol City or draw, 1.50) and under 2.5 goals (1.85). Cards may be issued in the 18°C evening, with Derby’s 12 fouls and Bristol City’s 11 per game suggesting 4-5 cards. Derby aim to end their losing streak, but Bristol City’s form may hold. Derby may score through Morris, with Twine likely netting for Bristol City. Derby’s home atmosphere balances Bristol City’s defensive solidity, leading to a draw that aligns with their recent tight H2H and Bristol City’s low-scoring trend.
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