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22nd. Aug. English Premier League---West Ham United VS Chelsea Prediction

22nd. Aug. English Premier League---West Ham United VS Chelsea Prediction
English Premier League  -  West Ham United VS Chelsea
Match Time:23-08-2025 03:00 Saturday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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West Ham United
West Ham, coached by Graham Potter, is 19th with 0 points after a 3-0 loss to Sunderland in their season opener on August 16, 2025. Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses in five competitive matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, with a 2-1 EFL Cup win over Bristol City on August 13, 2025. Key players include Jarrod Bowen (1 goal in EFL Cup), Mohammed Kudus, and Niclas Füllkrug, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Areola; Wan-Bissaka, Todibo, Kilman, Emerson; Álvarez, Ward-Prowse; Bowen, Kudus, Paquetá; Füllkrug. Strengths include their attacking potential (Bowen’s 6 goals last season) and home atmosphere, but defensive frailties (no clean sheets in 5 games) and injuries to Aaron Cresswell (doubtful) are concerns. They aim to secure their first points, leveraging their home form (2-1-0 in last 3 home games).

Chelsea
Chelsea, led by Enzo Maresca, is 11th with 1 point after a 0-0 draw at Crystal Palace on August 17, 2025, extending their clean-sheet streak to three games. Their recent form includes three wins and two draws in five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, with a 2-0 FA Community Shield win over Tottenham. Key players include Nicolas Jackson (2 assists in pre-season), Cole Palmer, and Marc Cucurella, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Sánchez; Gusto, Fofana, Colwill, Cucurella; Fernández, Caicedo; Madueke, Palmer, Neto; Jackson. Strengths include their defensive solidity (3 clean sheets) and midfield control, but a lack of clinical finishing (0 goals vs Palace) and doubts over João Félix (fitness) are issues. They aim to maintain their defensive record and secure their first league win, despite a mixed away record against West Ham.

Head-to-Head
West Ham and Chelsea have met 56 times since 1998, with Chelsea leading 31-15, including 10 draws. Recent results include Chelsea’s 2-1 win on February 3, 2025 (Palmer, Jackson; Bowen for West Ham) and a 3-0 win on September 21, 2024. At London Stadium, West Ham have won 2 of their last 9 Premier League home games against Chelsea (D3, L4), with a 3-1 win in 2023. Matches average 2.7 goals, with 55% both teams scoring (BTTS) and 50% over 2.5 goals. Chelsea’s recent dominance (4 wins in last 5) contrasts with West Ham’s home upset potential.

Predicted Score: West Ham United 1-1 Chelsea
West Ham’s Bowen and Kudus face Chelsea’s Jackson and Palmer, with West Ham’s home strength tested by Chelsea’s defensive resilience. Chelsea are favorites (1.85 odds, 54% win probability) over West Ham (3.80), with a draw at 3.60. Trends (West Ham: 60% over 2.5 goals; Chelsea: 80% under 2.5 goals) and H2H suggest a competitive game, with betting tips favoring Chelsea Draw No Bet (1.40) and under 2.5 goals (1.90). Cards may be issued in the 18°C evening, with West Ham’s 11 fouls and Chelsea’s 10 per game suggesting 3-4 cards. West Ham aim for an upset, while Chelsea seek to extend their clean-sheet run. West Ham may score through Bowen, with Palmer likely netting for Chelsea. West Ham’s home form balances Chelsea’s defensive solidity, leading to a draw that reflects their competitive H2H and Chelsea’s recent low-scoring trend.
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