20th Aug. Copa Sudamericana - Cienciano VS Bolivar Prediction
Copa Sudamericana - Cienciano VS Bolivar
Match Time:21-08-2025 06:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Cienciano
Cienciano, coached by Carlos Desio, trails 2-0 from the first leg against Bolívar on August 13, 2025. They topped Group H unbeaten (2 wins, 4 draws) but have struggled recently, with one win in their last five matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Key players include Alejandro Hohberg, Claudio Torrejón, and Juan Romagnoli, with a probable 3-4-1-2 lineup: Barrios; Galeano, Amondarain, Valoyes; Gamero, Torrejón, Palomino, Benítez; Hohberg; Garcés, Romagnoli. Strengths include their unbeaten home record (4 wins, 2 draws in last 6) and Cusco’s high altitude (3,399m), but defensive errors and the absence of Christian Cueva and Gaspar Gentile are concerns. They need a 3-0 win to advance or a 2-0 win for penalties.
Bolívar
Bolívar, led by Flavio Robatto, holds a 2-0 lead with goals from Martín Cauteruccio and Damián Batallini. They’ve won four of their last five matches, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, including a 5-0 league win. Key players include Cauteruccio (5 goals in 7 games), Batallini, and José Sagredo, with a probable 4-3-3 lineup: Lampe; Rocha, Torrén, Freita, Sagredo; Matheus, Justiniano, Cataño; Batallini, Cauteruccio, Rodríguez. Strengths include their attacking form and defensive solidity (3 clean sheets), but injuries to Santiago Echeverría and Pato Rodríguez and Cusco’s altitude are issues. They aim to manage the game and advance.
Head-to-Head
Cienciano and Bolívar have met three times. Bolívar won the first leg 2-0 (August 13, 2025). In 2007 Copa Libertadores, Cienciano won 5-1 at home and 3-2 away. Matches average 4.33 goals, with 100% over 2.5 goals and 67% both teams scoring (BTTS). Cienciano’s home win in 2007 suggests potential to challenge the deficit.
Predicted Score: Cienciano 2-1 Bolívar (Bolívar advances 3-2 on aggregate)
Cienciano’s Hohberg and Romagnoli face Bolívar’s Cauteruccio and Batallini, with Cienciano’s altitude advantage tested by Bolívar’s lead and defensive resilience. Cienciano are favorites to win the match (2.10 odds, 41% win probability) over Bolívar (3.50), with a draw at 3.75, but Bolívar are favored to advance (1.30 odds). Trends (Cienciano: 80% BTTS; Bolívar: 80% over 2.5 goals) and H2H suggest goals, with betting tips favoring BTTS (1.60) and over 2.5 goals (1.44). Cards are likely in the 18°C evening, with Cienciano’s 12 fouls and Bolívar’s 11 suggesting 4-5 cards. Cienciano will push, but Bolívar’s lead should hold. Cienciano may score through Hohberg, with Cauteruccio likely netting for Bolívar. Cienciano’s home form could secure a narrow win, but Bolívar’s first-leg advantage should see them through to the quarterfinals.
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