20th Aug. Brazil Serie A - Juventude VS Vasco da Gama Prediction
Brazil Serie A - Juventude VS Vasco da Gama
Match Time:21-08-2025 06:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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EC Juventude
Juventude, coached by Jair Ventura, is 19th with 15 points, in the relegation zone after a 2-2 draw at Vitória and a 2-1 win over Corinthians on August 16, 2025, ending a four-game losing streak. They’ve averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in 22 league matches. Key players include Jean Carlos (3 goals), Erick Farias, and Lucas Barbosa, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Gabriel; João Lucas, Ewerthon, Lucas, Alan Ruschel; Caíque, Jadson; Jean Carlos, Lucas Barbosa, Edson Carioca; Farias. Strengths include their recent home form (2 wins in last 3 home games) and set-piece threat, but central defender Cipriano’s suspension (red card vs Vitória) and a poor defensive record are concerns. They aim to avoid defeat and climb out of the relegation zone, leveraging their unbeaten record against Vasco since 2024.
CR Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama, led by Rafael Paiva, is 17th with 16 points, just above the relegation zone, after a 6-0 win over Santos on August 17, 2025, but only one win in their last three away games. They’ve averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.5 conceded in 22 league matches. Key players include Pablo Vegetti (if fit, 5 goals), Philippe Coutinho, and Rayan, with a probable 4-3-3 lineup: Léo Jardim; Paulo Henrique, Hugo Moura, Lucas Freitas, Lucas Piton; Thiago Mendes, Tchê Tchê, Coutinho; Nuno Moreira, Rayan, Vegetti. Strengths include their attacking potential (6 goals vs Santos), but injuries to Guilherme Estrella, Adson, and doubts over Vegetti and Paulo Henrique are issues. They aim to build on their recent thrashing and secure rare away points.
Head-to-Head
Juventude and Vasco have met 16 times, with Juventude winning 5, Vasco 3, and 8 draws. Recent results include a 1-1 draw on October 5, 2024 (Vasco’s home game) and Juventude’s 2-0 home win in June 2024. Matches average 2.25 goals, with 33% over 2.5 goals and 50% both teams scoring (BTTS). Juventude are unbeaten against Vasco in their last two encounters (1 win, 1 draw) and have a strong home record against them (2-4-2).
Predicted Score: EC Juventude 1-1 CR Vasco da Gama
Juventude’s Jean Carlos and Farias face Vasco’s Coutinho and Vegetti (if fit), with Juventude’s home form and H2H edge tested by Vasco’s attacking momentum. Juventude are slight favorites (2.30 odds, 43% win probability) over Vasco (3.10), with a draw at 3.20. Trends (Juventude: 73% over 1.5 goals; Vasco: 40% BTTS) and H2H suggest a tight game, with betting tips favoring double chance X1 (Juventude or draw, 1.36) and under 2.5 goals (1.85). Cards may be issued in the 20°C evening, with Juventude’s 11 fouls and Vasco’s 12 per game suggesting 4-5 cards. Juventude aim to extend their unbeaten H2H run, while Vasco seek to capitalize on their recent form. Juventude may score through Farias, with Coutinho likely netting for Vasco. Juventude’s home resilience and H2H advantage balance Vasco’s attacking threat, leading to a draw that keeps both teams in the relegation fight, aligning with their recent low-scoring encounters.
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