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25th Jan. Spanish La Liga---Atletico Madrid VS Mallorca Prediction
Spanish La Liga - Atletico Madrid VS Mallorca
Match Time:25-01-2026 21:00 Sunday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team News
Atletico Madrid are in fine fettle, extending an unbeaten run to six games across competitions with a recent 2-0 win over Girona. Their defense has been rock-solid, conceding only five goals in the last eight league outings, thanks to a settled backline. Injuries remain a concern: Pablo Barrios is sidelined with a muscle issue, and Giuliano Simeone is out long-term, but key men like Antoine Griezmann (top scorer with 11 goals) and Julian Alvarez are fit and firing. Rodrigo De Paul returns from suspension, adding midfield bite. Diego Simeone's side will likely deploy a 3-5-2 focused on high pressing and quick counters, with Griezmann and Alexander Sorloth leading the attack—expect dominance at home where they've scored in every league game this season.
Mallorca have been inconsistent, drawing 1-1 with Espanyol recently to end a three-game winless streak, but their away form is poor (conceding in nine straight road trips). Defensive solidity under Javier Aguirre has improved, but injuries weaken them: Omar Mascarell (knee) and Pablo Maffeo (hamstring) are doubtful, while Vedat Muriqi (their main goal threat with six strikes) is back from a minor knock and crucial for counters. They'll probably set up in a deep 5-4-1 to frustrate Atletico, relying on set pieces and breaks via players like Sergi Darder and Cyle Larin, but limited creativity could see them struggle to create chances against a high-quality defense.
Head to Head Analysis
Atletico dominate this fixture, unbeaten in their last 12 meetings against Mallorca (10 wins, 2 draws), including five straight clean sheets in recent clashes. Historically, they've won 22 of 40 encounters, with Mallorca claiming just nine. At the Metropolitano, Atletico have won the last four home games against them, often by narrow margins but with control—average under 2.5 goals in the last six H2H. Mallorca have failed to score in four of their last five visits to Atletico, highlighting defensive issues on big away days. Games tend to be low-scoring and tactical, with Atletico's organization overwhelming Mallorca's resilience, especially at home where the hosts exploit set pieces and transitions effectively.
Prediction
Atletico's home fortress and superior quality make them heavy favorites—Simeone's men are motivated to close the title gap and rarely drop points against mid-table sides. Mallorca's compact setup could keep it tight early, but their injury doubts and poor away scoring record (few goals on the road) limit upset potential. Expect Atletico to control possession, break through via Griezmann's creativity or Sorloth's physicality, and secure a clean sheet in a professional display.
Final Prediction: Atletico Madrid win 2-0 (or 3-0). Home dominance to shine—around 75% confidence in an Atletico victory, with under 2.5 goals likely.
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