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30th Dec. English Premier League---Burnley VS Newcastle United Prediction
English Premier League - Burnley VS Newcastle United
Match Time:31-12-2025 03:30 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Burnley are entering this Premier League Matchday 15 clash at Turf Moor on December 7, 2025, in a relegation battle, sitting 17th with 13 points from 14 matches (3 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses). Their recent form shows one win and three losses in the last five league games, including a 1-0 loss to Crystal Palace and a 2-0 defeat to Chelsea. They've scored 12 goals and conceded 25, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. At home, Burnley are resilient, winning 2 of 7 league games, with goalkeeper James Trafford keeping 2 clean sheets. Coach Scott Parker's 4-4-2 relies on Josh Brownhill's midfield energy (2 goals) and Lyle Foster's finishing (3 goals). Injuries to Aaron Ramsey (knee) and doubts over Nathan Redmond (fitness) weaken their squad. Burnley will leverage their passionate home crowd to press Newcastle and secure points against relegation.
Newcastle United are in good form, sitting 9th with 21 points from 14 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses). Their recent form includes two wins and two draws in the last five league games, with a 2-0 victory over Brentford and a 1-1 draw against Crystal Palace. They've scored 20 goals and conceded 18, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Away form is mixed, with 3 wins in 7 road games. Coach Eddie Howe's 4-3-3 depends on Alexander Isak's finishing (7 goals) and Anthony Gordon's pace (4 assists). Injuries to Sven Botman (knee), Jamaal Lascelles (ACL), and doubts over Harvey Barnes (hamstring) are concerns, but Joelinton is fit. Newcastle will focus on quick transitions to challenge Burnley's defense, aiming for a top-eight spot.
Head to Head
Burnley and Newcastle United have met 110 times historically, with Newcastle winning 48, Burnley 42, and 20 draws, averaging 2.8 goals per game. Newcastle are unbeaten in their last 5 league meetings with Burnley (4 wins, 1 draw), including a 4-1 away win in May 2024. At Turf Moor, Newcastle have won 3 of the last 5, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 60% of the last 10 meetings. Burnley's 1-0 Palace loss and Newcastle's 2-0 Brentford win suggest Newcastle's edge, but Burnley's home resilience adds intrigue.
Prediction
Burnley's home form (2 wins in 7) gives them hope against Newcastle's mixed away record (3 wins in 7), but Newcastle's attacking depth (1.4 goals per game) should exploit Burnley's defense (1.8 conceded per game). Burnley's Foster could threaten on counters, but Newcastle's press will limit chances. I predict a 1-2 Newcastle win, with Isak and Gordon scoring, and Foster replying for Burnley. Newcastle's win probability is around 50%, reflecting their 2-0 Brentford win and Burnley's poor scoring. Expect Newcastle to edge possession (around 52%) and corners (6-8), with Burnley relying on set-pieces. The game will be competitive, with Newcastle securing three points to push for Europe.
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