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17th. Dec. Spanish Copa Del Rey---Alaves VS Sevilla Prediction

17th. Dec. Spanish Copa Del Rey---Alaves VS Sevilla Prediction
Spanish Copa Del Rey  -  Alaves VS Sevilla
Match Time:18-12-2025 04:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Team Reviews
Alavés are entering this Copa del Rey Round of 32 clash at Estadio de Mendizorroza in Vitoria-Gasteiz on December 17, 2025, in solid LaLiga form, sitting 10th with 12 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Their recent form shows two wins and two draws in the last five league games, including a 3-1 victory over Elche. They've scored 9 goals and conceded 7, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. At home, Alavés are strong, winning 2 of 4 league games, with goalkeeper Antonio Sivera keeping 1 clean sheet. Coach Luis García's 4-2-3-1 relies on Carlos Vicente's finishing (3 goals) and Joan Jordán's creativity (2 assists). No major injuries are reported. Alavés will leverage their home crowd to press Sevilla and advance against a top-flight side.

Sevilla are in mid-table LaLiga form, sitting 12th with 11 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Their recent form includes a 2-1 loss to Villarreal but a 1-0 win over Getafe. They've scored 10 goals and conceded 9, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Away form is mixed, with 1 win in 4 road games. Coach Francisco Javier García Pimienta's 4-2-3-1 depends on Isaac Romero's finishing (2 goals) and Rubén Vargas's wing play. Injuries to Dodi Lukébakio (thigh) and doubts over Kike Salas (knock) weaken their squad. Sevilla will aim for quick transitions and set-pieces to overcome Alavés's home strength.

Head to Head
Alavés and Sevilla have met 22 times in recent seasons, with Sevilla winning 10, Alavés 6, and 6 draws, averaging 2.3 goals per game. Sevilla won the last two encounters, including a 1-0 home win in May 2025. At Mendizorroza, Alavés have won 4 of 11, with 4 draws, but Sevilla won 2-0 in 2024. Both teams scored in 50% of the last 10, suggesting competitive, potentially low-scoring games. Alavés's 3-1 Elche win and Sevilla's 1-0 Getafe victory indicate a tight battle.

Prediction
Alavés's home strength (2 wins in 4) gives them a chance against Sevilla's mixed away form (1 win in 4), but Sevilla's experience and attack (1.3 goals per game) should edge it. The cup format favors the higher-division side. I predict a 1-2 Sevilla win, with Romero scoring for Alavés and Vargas or Lukébakio replying twice for Sevilla. Sevilla's win probability is around 55%, reflecting their 1-0 Getafe win and Alavés's 3-1 Elche result. Expect Sevilla to edge possession (around 52%) and corners (6-8), with Alavés relying on counters. The game will be close, with Sevilla advancing to the next round.
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