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7th Dec. Italian Serie A---Napoli VS Juventus Prediction
Italy Serie A - Napoli VS Juventus
Match Time:08-12-2025 03:45 Monday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Napoli are entering this Serie A Matchday 14 clash at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on December 7, 2025, in strong form, sitting 2nd with 28 points from 13 matches (8 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss). Their recent form shows three wins in their last five league games, including a 1-0 road victory over AS Roma and a 1-1 Coppa Italia draw against Cagliari (advancing on penalties). They've scored 20 goals and conceded 10, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. At home, Napoli are unbeaten this season, winning 7 and drawing 2 of 9 league games, with Vanja Milinković-Savić keeping 4 clean sheets. Coach Antonio Conte's 3-5-2 relies on David Neres's finishing (scoring the winner vs. Roma) and Leonardo Spinazzola's wing play. Injuries to Frank Anguissa (thigh), Kevin De Bruyne (thigh), Romelu Lukaku (recovery), Billy Gilmour (groin), Miguel Gutiérrez (ankle), and Alex Meret (foot) are major concerns, but Spinazzola is expected to start at left-back. Napoli will leverage their home dominance (unbeaten in 2025) and pressing game to grind out a win against Juventus.
Juventus are showing signs of revival under Luciano Spalletti, sitting 7th with 23 points from 13 matches (6 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses). Their recent form includes a 2-1 Coppa Italia win over Udinese and a 2-0 victory over Cagliari in Serie A, unbeaten in their last three across all competitions. They've scored 17 goals and conceded 12, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. Away form is mixed, with 3 wins in 6 road games. Spalletti's 3-4-2-1 depends on Jonathan David's finishing (scoring vs. Cagliari) and Weston McKennie's midfield energy. Injuries to Dušan Vlahović (muscle), Gleison Bremer (knee), Arkadiusz Milik (calf), Carlo Pinsoglio (calf), Daniele Rugani (calf), and Federico Gatti (calf) severely deplete their squad, but Federico Gatti, Fabio Miretti, and Juan Cabal may drop to the bench. Juventus will focus on a back-three setup and patient build-up, aiming to sustain their momentum against former coach Conte.
Head to Head
Napoli and Juventus have met 85 times in Serie A, with Juventus winning 41, Napoli 22, and 22 draws, averaging 2.3 goals per game. Napoli have won 4 of the last 6 league meetings (1 draw, 1 Juventus win), including a 2-1 home victory in May 2025. At Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli have won 5 of the last 5 head-to-heads against Juventus, their best run in this fixture. Both teams scored in 50% of the last 10, but under 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 5. Napoli's 1-0 Roma win and Juventus's 2-0 Cagliari victory suggest a tight, low-scoring derby, with Napoli's home edge key.
Prediction
Napoli's unbeaten home record (9 games) and recent dominance over Juventus (4 wins in 6) make them favorites, despite injuries to key midfielders like Anguissa and De Bruyne. Juventus's depleted defense (multiple calf injuries) will struggle against Neres and Spinazzola's width, but their back-three setup under Spalletti could frustrate Conte's press. With both teams favoring mid-blocks and low foul counts (Napoli 66 fouls, Juventus 70 in last 5), expect a controlled game. I predict a 2-0 Napoli win, with Neres and Lucca scoring. Napoli's win probability is around 55%, reflecting their 1-0 Roma win and Juventus's injury crisis. Expect Napoli to edge possession (around 52%) and corners (6-8), with Juventus relying on counters. The game will be tactical, with Napoli securing three points to go top and pressure Milan.
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