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2nd Dec. Brazil Serie A---Vasco da Gama VS Mirassol Prediction
Brazil Serie A - Vasco da Gama VS Mirassol
Match Time:03-12-2025 06:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Vasco da Gama are entering this Brazil Serie A Matchday 31 clash at Estádio São Januário on October 16, 2025, in a precarious position, sitting 17th with 30 points from 30 matches (7 wins, 9 draws, 14 losses). Their recent form shows one win and three losses in the last five league games, including a 3-1 win over Vitória but a 2-0 loss to Cruzeiro. They've scored 28 goals and conceded 38, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. At home, Vasco are resilient, winning 5 of 15 league games, with goalkeeper keeping 2 clean sheets recently. Coach's 4-2-3-1 relies on Vegetti's finishing (8 goals) and Payet's creativity (3 assists). No major injuries are reported, but the team's pressure from the relegation zone adds tension. Vasco will leverage their passionate home crowd to secure points against Mirassol.
Mirassol are in better shape, sitting 12th with 38 points from 30 matches (10 wins, 8 draws, 12 losses). Their recent form includes two wins and two draws in the last five, with a 2-0 win over Botafogo-SP and a 1-1 draw against Avaí. They've scored 38 goals and conceded 39, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Away form is inconsistent, with 3 wins in 15 road games. Coach's 4-2-3-1 depends on Negueba's finishing (6 goals) and Léo Gamalho's experience. No major injuries are noted. Mirassol will aim to maintain their mid-table security and counter Vasco's attack, seeking a positive result.
Head to Head
Vasco da Gama and Mirassol have met 4 times in recent seasons, with Vasco winning 2, Mirassol 1, and 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game. Vasco won the last two encounters, including a 2-1 home victory in 2024. At São Januário, Vasco have won 2 of 2 against Mirassol. Both teams scored in 50% of the last 4, but the last 2 were low-scoring (under 2.5 goals). Vasco's 3-1 Vitória win and Mirassol's 2-0 Botafogo-SP result suggest a tight, potentially defensive battle.
Prediction
Vasco's home resilience (5 wins in 15) and recent head-to-head dominance (2 wins) make them slight favorites against Mirassol's inconsistent away form (3 wins in 15). Mirassol's balance (1.3 goals scored/conceded) could keep it close, but Vasco's motivation to avoid relegation should prevail. I predict a 1-0 Vasco win, with Vegetti scoring. Vasco's win probability is around 50%, reflecting their 3-1 Vitória win and Mirassol's 1-1 Avaí draw. Expect Vasco to edge possession (around 52%) and corners (6-8), with Mirassol relying on counters. The game will be cautious, with Vasco securing three points to fight relegation.
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