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28th Jan. UEFA Champions League---Liverpool VS Qarabag Prediction
UEFA Champions League - Liverpool VS Qarabag
Match Time:29-01-2026 04:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team News
Liverpool are enduring a tough domestic spell (five-match winless run in the Premier League, including a late loss to Bournemouth), with morale low amid mounting injuries. Defensive crisis hits hard: Joe Gomez is out after the weekend, Ibrahima Konate doubtful following a family bereavement (though potentially available), plus long-term issues for players like Stefan Bajcetic, Connor Bradley, and others. Andy Robertson returns and should start at left-back. Expect Arne Slot to revert to a 4-2-3-1 for stability: Alisson in goal, a backline with Virgil van Dijk anchoring, midfield featuring Alexis Mac Allister and Ryan Gravenberch for control, and attack led by Mohamed Salah (key threat), Dominik Szoboszlai (recent free-kick goals), Cody Gakpo, and possibly Hugo Ekitike up top. Despite domestic woes, their European form has been assured (strong wins like over Marseille), with high pressing and home dominance key at Anfield.
Qarabag have no major injury concerns, with a full squad available under Gurban Gurbanov. They've punched above expectations in Europe (wins and a draw vs Chelsea), showing resilience and late-game fight. Expect a 4-2-3-1 or similar: Mateusz Kochalski in goal, a solid backline with Bahlul Mustafazada and Kevin Medina, midfield grit from Marko Jankovic and Pedro Bicalho, and attack featuring Leandro Andrade, Abdellah Zoubir, and Camilo Duran for pacey counters. Their approach will be compact defensively, absorbing pressure before hitting transitions—exciting but vulnerable away against elite attacks.
Head to Head Analysis
No prior competitive meetings between Liverpool and Qarabag—this is their first clash. Qarabag have a poor record against English sides away (four losses, aggregate 13-1 conceded, including heavy defeats). They've shown pluck in Europe (stunning Benfica early, drawing Chelsea), but struggle to contain top attacks on the road. Liverpool's home European record is formidable (rare consecutive losses at Anfield), with high possession and goals from wide areas or set pieces. Expect Liverpool to dominate territory, while Qarabag sit deep, frustrate early, and seek counters—games involving Qarabag often see goals, but Anfield mismatches favor the hosts heavily. Liverpool's quality and motivation should prevail in a one-sided affair.
Prediction
Liverpool's European consistency, Anfield fortress, and need for points make them overwhelming favorites despite injury woes and domestic slump—their depth and pressing should overwhelm Qarabag's organization. The visitors can threaten on breaks (as against Chelsea/Frankfurt), but their away fragility against big teams limits upset chances. Expect a response from the Reds: controlled possession, multiple goals from quality moments, and a comfortable win to secure top-eight status.
Final Prediction: Liverpool win 3-0 (or 3-1). Hosts to cruise—around 75-80% confidence in a Liverpool victory, with over 2.5 goals likely.
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