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20th Jan. UEFA Champions League---Tottenham Hotspur VS Borussia Dortmund Prediction
UEFA Champions League - Tottenham Hotspur VS Borussia Dortmund
Match Time:21-01-2026 04:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team News
Tottenham are in crisis mode domestically (winless in five, bottom-half Premier League), but Europe offers hope under Thomas Frank. Injuries and suspensions decimate the squad: Micky van de Ven is suspended (three yellows), while Ben Davies (recent stretcher exit), Richarlison (hamstring, out until March), Joao Palhinha (knock), Rodrigo Bentancur, James Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski (long-term knee), and Mohammed Kudus are sidelined. New signing Conor Gallagher is ineligible for UCL. Expect heavy reliance on a patched-up lineup—Guglielmo Vicario in goal, makeshift defense with Cristian Romero and Kevin Danso, midfield featuring Archie Gray and others, and attack led by Mathys Tel, Randal Kolo Muani, or Wilson Odobert for creativity. Home dominance (unbeaten in 23 European games at the stadium) is their lifeline, but depth is stretched thin.
Borussia Dortmund, under Niko Kovac, enter fresher after a solid Bundesliga restart (wins and a draw) and joint-highest scorers in the competition (19 goals). Their only league-phase loss was a 4-1 thrashing at Manchester City. No major new injuries reported—Marcel Sabitzer remains sidelined, but the core is available. Expect Serhou Guirassy leading the line (prolific threat), Julian Brandt pulling strings, and a dynamic 4-2-3-1 with pacey wingers and midfield energy from players like Emre Can or Felix Nmecha. Dortmund's counter-attacking style and resilience (unbeaten in seven before this) suit away games against struggling sides.
Head to Head Analysis
Tottenham hold a commanding recent record, winning all four Champions League meetings since 2015-16 (including a 3-0 home win in 2018-19 and 1-0 away). Dortmund's last victories came in the 2015-16 Europa League (two wins), but Spurs have dominated since—four straight UCL wins, often high-scoring at home (over 2.5 goals in last four home H2H). Tottenham are unbeaten in 23 European home games (since 2020), while Dortmund have lost seven of their last eight away in England against top sides. Matches tend to be open and goal-heavy when these teams meet, with Spurs' home fortress clashing against Dortmund's attacking flair. Expect Spurs to push early possession, but Dortmund's counters could exploit defensive gaps.
Prediction
Spurs' impeccable home Champions League record (perfect, clean sheets) gives them a real edge despite the injury crisis—desperation for points under Frank could spark a response. Dortmund's superior form, depth, and scoring threat make them dangerous on the break, but their poor English away record tips the balance. This should be competitive and entertaining, with goals likely from both ends. Home advantage and historical dominance should see Spurs grind out a narrow win to boost qualification hopes.
Final Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur win 2-1 (or 3-2 in a thriller). Hosts to claim vital points—around 60% confidence in a Spurs victory, with over 2.5 goals probable given trends and scoring records.
From:Preview
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