26th. Nov. UEFA Champions League---Atletico Madrid VS Inter Milan Prediction
UEFA Champions League - Atletico Madrid VS Inter Milan
Match Time:27-11-2025 04:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Atlético Madrid are entering this UEFA Champions League league phase Matchday 5 clash at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on November 26, 2025, in inconsistent form, sitting 14th with 6 points from 4 matches (2 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Their recent form includes a 3-1 UCL win over Eintracht Frankfurt (Julián Álvarez scoring twice) but a 2-0 loss to Real Madrid in LaLiga. They've scored 9 goals and conceded 5 in the UCL, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. At home, Atlético are strong, winning 2 of 2 UCL games with 1 clean sheet. Coach Diego Simeone's 4-4-2 relies on Álvarez's finishing (4 UCL goals) and Antoine Griezmann's creativity (2 assists). Robin Le Normand is out (knee), with Jan Oblak in goal behind Marcos Llorente, José María Giménez, Dávid Hancko, and Matteo Ruggeri. Atlético will leverage their pressing-to-transition style and home record (11 wins in last 12 UCL home games) to challenge Inter, aiming to improve their position.
Inter Milan are in excellent form, sitting 1st in Serie A unbeaten after 14 matches and 2nd in the UCL with 12 points from 4 matches (4 wins). Their recent form includes a 2-1 UCL win over Arsenal and a 1-0 Serie A win over Milan in the derby. They've scored 11 goals and conceded 1 in the UCL, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game. Away form is solid, with 2 wins in 2 UCL road games. Coach Cristian Chivu's 3-5-2 depends on Lautaro Martínez's finishing (2 UCL goals) and Hakan Çalhanoğlu's playmaking (5 goals total). No major injuries are reported, with Federico Dimarco and Marcus Thuram available. Inter will aim to extend their 11-match UCL clean sheet streak (last conceded vs. Benfica in 2023) and 4-game winning streak, exploiting Atlético's home vulnerabilities.
Head to Head
Atlético Madrid and Inter Milan have met 4 times in recent European competitions, with Atlético winning 2 (including the 2010 Super Cup) and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game. Their last competitive meeting was in the 2009-10 UCL round of 16, where Atlético advanced on penalties after two 2-0 Inter wins. Atlético are unbeaten in their last 3 home games against Inter (2 wins, 1 draw). Both teams scored in 50% of the 4 meetings. Atlético's 3-1 Frankfurt win and Inter's 2-1 Arsenal victory suggest a low-scoring, tactical battle, with Inter's defensive record (0.3 conceded per game) giving them an edge.
Prediction
Inter's perfect UCL record (4 wins, 0 goals conceded) and unbeaten Serie A run make them slight favorites against Atlético's inconsistent home form (2 wins in 4 UCL games) and defensive issues (1.3 conceded per game). Atlético's Álvarez threat could test Inter's backline, but Simone's press may struggle against Chivu's disciplined setup. I predict a 1-0 Inter win, with Martínez scoring. Inter's win probability is around 45%, reflecting their 2-1 Arsenal win and Atlético's 2-0 Real Madrid loss. Expect Inter to edge possession (around 51%) and corners (6-8), with Atlético relying on counters. The game will be tight, with Inter's defense securing three points to stay atop the league phase.
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