25th Nov. UEFA Champions League---Chelsea VS FC Barcelona Prediction
UEFA Champions League - Chelsea VS FC Barcelona
Match Time:26-11-2025 04:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Chelsea are entering this UEFA Champions League League Phase Matchday 5 clash at Stamford Bridge on November 25, 2025, in a transitional phase, sitting 12th with 7 points from 4 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their recent form includes a 2-0 Premier League win over Burnley and a 2-2 draw against Qarabağ FK in the UCL, scoring 6 goals and conceding 6, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. At home, Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 3 UCL games (2 wins, 1 draw), with Robert Sánchez keeping 1 clean sheet. Coach Enzo Maresca's 4-2-3-1 relies on João Pedro's finishing (4 goals) and Pedro Neto's creativity (3 assists). Gabriel Slonina, Raheem Sterling, and Dário Essugo are ineligible, with injuries to Tosin Adarabioyo, Wesley Fofana, Cole Palmer (groin), Liam Delap (hamstring), and doubts over Moisés Caicedo and João Pedro. Chelsea will leverage their home crowd to challenge Barcelona, aiming to climb into the top eight.
FC Barcelona are in solid form, sitting 11th with 7 points from 4 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their recent form includes a 4-0 LaLiga win over Athletic Bilbao and a 3-3 draw at Club Brugge in the UCL, scoring 9 goals and conceding 6, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Away form is mixed, with 1 win in 2 UCL road games. Hansi Flick's 4-3-3 depends on Ferran Torres's finishing (2 UCL goals) and Lamine Yamal's flair. Injuries to Marc-André ter Stegen (low back, expected return December 13, 2025) and doubts over Jules Koundé (fitness) are concerns, but Robert Lewandowski and Fermín López are available. Barcelona will aim to exploit Chelsea's injury-hit squad with quick transitions.
Head to Head
Chelsea and Barcelona have met 14 times in the Champions League, with Barcelona winning 5, Chelsea 4, and 5 draws, averaging 3.1 goals per game. Chelsea won the last 2 encounters, including a 4-1 aggregate in the 2017-18 round of 16 (1-1 home, 3-0 away). At Stamford Bridge, Chelsea have won 3 of the last 5, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 70% of the last 10 meetings. Chelsea's 2-2 Qarabağ draw and Barcelona's 3-3 Brugge result suggest a high-scoring, competitive affair.
Prediction
Chelsea's home resilience (unbeaten in 3 UCL games) and Barcelona's away inconsistency (1 win in 2) make this a tight contest, but Barcelona's attacking depth (2.3 goals per game) and Chelsea's injuries (multiple absences) tilt it slightly. Both teams' defensive vulnerabilities (1.5 conceded per game) point to goals. I predict a 2-2 draw, with João Pedro and Pedro Neto scoring for Chelsea, and Ferran Torres and Lamine Yamal for Barcelona. Draw probability is around 30%, reflecting Chelsea's 2-0 Burnley win and Barcelona's 4-0 Athletic win. Expect Chelsea to edge possession (around 48%) and corners (6-8), with Barcelona threatening on counters. The game will be end-to-end, with both sides fighting for a top-eight spot.
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