20th Nov. Brazil Serie A---Bahia VS Fortaleza Prediction
Brazil Serie A - Bahia VS Fortaleza
Match Time:21-11-2025 05:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Bahia are entering this Brazil Serie A Matchday 28 clash at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, on October 17, 2025, in solid form, sitting 6th with 40 points from 27 matches (11 wins, 7 draws, 9 losses). Their recent form shows three wins and two losses in the last five league games, including a 2-1 win over Fortaleza on June 1, 2025, and a 1-0 victory against Internacional. They've scored 43 goals and conceded 34, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. At home, Bahia are strong, winning 8 of 13 league games, with goalkeeper Marcos Felipe keeping 4 clean sheets. Coach Rogério Ceni's 4-3-3 relies on Everaldo's finishing (6 goals) and Thaciano's creativity (5 assists). No major injuries are reported, but the team's high motivation in the Ba-Vi derby will drive them. Bahia will leverage their passionate home crowd to extend their unbeaten run against Fortaleza.
Fortaleza are struggling, sitting 15th with 29 points from 27 matches (8 wins, 5 draws, 14 losses). Their recent form includes one win and three losses in the last five, with a 2-1 loss to Bahia earlier this season and a 1-0 defeat to Flamengo. They've scored 30 goals and conceded 38, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Away form is poor, with 3 wins in 13 road games. Coach Juan Pablo Vojvoda's 4-2-3-1 depends on Moisés' finishing (5 goals) and Hércules' wing play (3 assists). Injuries to Tinga (knee) and Emmanuel Martínez (hamstring) are concerns. Fortaleza will aim to stay compact and counter Bahia's press, seeking to end their poor record in the Ba-Vi.
Head to Head
Bahia and Fortaleza have met 28 times since 2006, with Bahia winning 12, Fortaleza 9, and 7 draws, averaging 2.4 goals per game. Bahia won the last 3 encounters, including a 2-1 home victory in June 2025. At Arena Fonte Nova, Bahia have won 7 of 14 against Fortaleza, with 4 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of the last 10, but Bahia kept 2 clean sheets in the last 3. Bahia's 2-1 Fortaleza win and Fortaleza's 1-0 Flamengo loss suggest Bahia's edge, but Fortaleza's resilience keeps it competitive.
Prediction
Bahia's home dominance (8 wins in 13) and recent head-to-head superiority (3 wins) make them favorites against Fortaleza's poor away form (3 wins in 13). Fortaleza's attack (1.1 goals per game) could threaten, but Bahia's defense (1.3 conceded per game) should hold. I predict a 2-1 Bahia win, with Everaldo or Thaciano scoring, and Moisés replying for Fortaleza. Bahia's win probability is around 55%, reflecting their 2-1 Fortaleza win and Fortaleza's 1-0 Flamengo loss. Expect Bahia to control possession (around 52%) and corners (6-8), with Fortaleza relying on counters. The game will be intense, with Bahia securing three points to push for a top-6 finish.
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