20th Nov. Brazil Serie A---Juventude VS Cruzeiro Prediction

Brazil Serie A - Juventude VS Cruzeiro
Match Time:21-11-2025 03:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Juventude are entering this Brazil Serie A Matchday 28 clash at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi on October 17, 2025, in a desperate fight for survival, sitting 17th with 25 points from 27 matches (7 wins, 4 draws, 16 losses). Their recent form shows one win and three losses in the last five league games, including a 1-4 thrashing by Palmeiras where they led 2-0 at halftime but collapsed. They've scored 30 goals and conceded 44, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. At home, Juventude are resilient, winning 5 of 13 league games, with goalkeeper keeping 2 clean sheets recently. Coach Thiago Carpini's 4-2-3-1 relies on Janderson's finishing (8 goals) and Matheuzinho's creativity (3 assists). Renzo López is out (injury), but the team's fighting spirit in comebacks offers hope. Juventude will leverage their passionate home crowd to avoid relegation against a strong Cruzeiro side.
Cruzeiro are in solid form, sitting 5th with 42 points from 27 matches (12 wins, 6 draws, 9 losses). Their recent form includes two wins and two draws in the last five, with a 2-0 win over Vasco da Gama and a 1-1 draw against Botafogo. They've scored 38 goals and conceded 30, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Away form is decent, with 5 wins in 13 road games. Coach Fernando Diniz's 4-3-3 depends on Matheus Pereira's finishing (6 goals) and Kaio Jorge's movement (4 goals). No major injuries are reported. Cruzeiro will aim to maintain their attacking momentum and exploit Juventude's defensive lapses, targeting a top-4 finish for Copa Libertadores qualification.
Head to Head
Cruzeiro and Juventude have met 17 times since 2004, with Cruzeiro winning 8, Juventude 5, and 4 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game. Cruzeiro won the last two encounters, including a 2-1 away victory in June 2025. At Alfredo Jaconi, Juventude have won 4 of 8, with 2 draws, but Cruzeiro won the last visit 1-0 in 2024. Both teams scored in 50% of the last 5, but Cruzeiro kept 2 clean sheets in the last 3. Cruzeiro's 2-0 Vasco win and Juventude's 1-4 Palmeiras collapse suggest Cruzeiro's edge, but Juventude's home resilience keeps it competitive.
Prediction
Juventude's home form (5 wins in 13) and desperation for points make them dangerous, but Cruzeiro's consistency (1.4 goals per game) and recent head-to-head dominance (2 wins) give them the advantage. Juventude's collapse against Palmeiras highlights defensive issues (1.6 conceded per game), which Cruzeiro can exploit. I predict a 1-2 Cruzeiro win, with Pereira or Jorge scoring, and Janderson replying for Juventude. Cruzeiro's win probability is around 50%, reflecting their 2-0 Vasco win and Juventude's 1-4 Palmeiras loss. Expect Cruzeiro to edge possession (around 52%) and corners (6-8), with Juventude relying on counters. The game will be intense, with Cruzeiro securing three points to push for Libertadores, while Juventude's survival fight continues.
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