11th Oct. England FA Cup---Farnham Town VS Sutton United Prediction
England FA Cup - Farnham Town VS Sutton United
Match Time:11-10-2025 19:30 Saturday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Farnham Town are entering this Emirates FA Cup Fourth Qualifying Round clash at The Memorial Ground, Farnham, on October 11, 2025, in excellent form, sitting 4th in the Southern League Premier South (Step 3) with 17 points from nine matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). Their recent form includes a 2-4 win over Chichester City in the FA Trophy on October 5, 2025, and a 3-0 FA Cup Third Qualifying Round victory against Dorchester Town. They’ve scored 29 goals across all competitions, averaging 2.4 goals per game, and conceded 12. At home, Farnham are unbeaten in six (four wins, two draws), with goalkeeper Charlie Searle keeping multiple clean sheets. Coach Paul Johnson’s 4-3-3 relies on Harry Cooksley’s midfield creativity and Jack Dean’s finishing (two goals vs. Dorchester). No major injuries are reported. Farnham, in their first-ever Fourth Qualifying Round appearance, will leverage a record-breaking home crowd (over 2,134 expected) to challenge Sutton, aiming for a historic upset.
Sutton United are struggling, sitting 22nd in the National League (Step 1) with 8 points from 14 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 10 losses). Their recent form shows one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five league matches, including a 1-0 loss to Brackley Town on October 5, 2025, and a 2-2 draw at Braintree Town. They’ve scored 10 goals and conceded 24 in the league, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Away form is poor, with one win in seven road games. Coach Steve Morison’s 4-2-3-1 depends on Will Davies’ finishing (two goals) and Lewis Flatman’s versatility. No major injuries are reported, but fan frustration is high after recent performances. Sutton will aim to use their two-division advantage to dominate possession, hoping to avoid an upset and kickstart their FA Cup campaign.
Head to Head
Farnham Town and Sutton United have met four times, all in the Surrey Senior Cup, with Sutton winning three and Farnham one. Their most recent clash was a 3-0 Farnham win in the 2024 Surrey Senior Cup final, with Jack Dean and Lewis Flatman (two goals) scoring against a youthful Sutton side. Matches average 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in two of four encounters, suggesting a competitive, potentially high-scoring game. Farnham’s recent victory gives them confidence, but Sutton’s higher-tier experience and full first-team squad make this a different challenge.
Prediction
Farnham’s unbeaten home record and attacking form (2.4 goals per game) make them dangerous underdogs, especially with a bumper crowd, but Sutton’s National League experience and desperation to avoid embarrassment give them an edge. I predict a 2-1 Sutton United win, with Davies or Flatman scoring, and Cooksley or Dean replying for Farnham. Sutton’s win probability is around 55%, reflecting their 2-2 Braintree draw and Farnham’s 3-0 Dorchester win. Expect Sutton to edge possession (around 52%) and corners (6-8), with Farnham’s high press creating chances. The game should be close, with Sutton’s quality narrowly prevailing, though Farnham’s momentum could push them close to a historic upset.
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