10th Oct. International Friendly---Indonesia U23 VS India U23 Prediction

International Friendly - Indonesia U23 VS India U23
Match Time:10-10-2025 21:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Indonesia U23 are entering this International Friendly at Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium, Jakarta, on October 10, 2025, with high expectations, preparing for the SEA Games 2025 in Thailand. Under coach Indra Sjafri, who led them to SEA Games gold in 2023, the Garuda Muda are in a training camp (October 3–14, 2025) to fine-tune their squad. Their recent form includes a 7-6 penalty win over Thailand U23 in the AFF U23 Championship semifinal on July 25, 2025, but a 1-0 loss to Vietnam U23 in the final. They failed to qualify for the AFC U23 Asian Cup, losing 1-0 to Korea Republic. Indonesia have scored 16 goals in their last five competitive matches, averaging 3.2 goals scored, but conceded in three of five. At home, they’re unbeaten in four (three wins, one draw), with goalkeeper Cahya Supriadi keeping two clean sheets. The 4-2-3-1 formation relies on Rafael Struick’s finishing and Ivar Jenner’s midfield drive (both SEA Games veterans). No major injuries are reported, but Marselino Ferdinan is absent (senior team duties). Indonesia will leverage their passionate home crowd to dominate possession, aiming to build momentum for SEA Games.
India U23 are in Jakarta for this friendly, coached by Naushad Moosa, as part of their Asian Games 2026 preparation. Their recent form includes a strong AFC U23 Asian Cup Qualifiers campaign, with wins over Bahrain (1-0) and Brunei (4-0) but a loss to Qatar, missing qualification as the fifth-best second-placed team. They’ve played four friendlies this season, drawing 0-0 with Tajikistan and Kyrgyz Republic, and splitting results with Iraq (1-0 loss, 1-1 draw). India have scored 3 goals in their last five matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Away form is inconsistent, with no wins in three road games. Moosa’s 4-2-3-1 depends on Muhammed Suhail’s finishing and Lalrinliana Hnamte’s midfield energy. No major injuries are reported, but senior team call-ups have depleted the squad. India will focus on defensive solidity and counterattacks, aiming to gain international experience against a strong Indonesia side.
Head to Head
This is the first meeting between Indonesia U23 and India U23, with no prior head-to-head data. At the U17 level, Indonesia beat India 3-1 in a 2024 friendly, suggesting a slight edge in youth matchups. Indonesia’s games average 4.0 goals (80% over 2.5 goals), while India’s average 1.2 goals (20% over 2.5 goals), indicating Indonesia’s attacking flair could contrast with India’s low-scoring, defensive style. Indonesia’s 7-6 Thailand win and India’s 1-0 Bahrain victory suggest a competitive, potentially high-scoring game if Indonesia exploit India’s away struggles.
Prediction
Indonesia U23’s home strength, SEA Games pedigree, and attacking output (3.2 goals per game) make them favorites against an India U23 side with a solid but low-scoring qualifiers campaign (0.6 goals per game). Indonesia’s passionate Jakarta crowd and Indra Sjafri’s experience give them an edge, while India’s defensive approach may struggle away. I predict a 2-1 Indonesia win, with Struick or Jens Raven scoring, and Suhail replying for India. Indonesia’s win probability is around 60%, reflecting their 8-0 Brunei rout and India’s 1-0 Bahrain win. Expect Indonesia to control possession (around 55%) and corners (7-9), with India’s counters posing a threat. The game should see Indonesia’s attack prevail, boosting their SEA Games prep.
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