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9th Sep. FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)---Serbia VS England Prediction

9th Sep. FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)---Serbia VS England Prediction
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)  -  Serbia VS England
Match Time:10-09-2025 02:45 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Team Reviews
Serbia are entering this FIFA World Cup 2026 UEFA Qualifier Group K match at Stadion Rajko Mitić in Belgrade with confidence, sitting second in the group with seven points from three matches (2 wins, 1 draw). Their recent form is solid, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches across all competitions, scoring seven goals and conceding four, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. At home, Serbia are formidable, unbeaten in their last four competitive matches, with goalkeeper Đorđe Petrović keeping one clean sheet. Coach Dragan Stojković’s 3-5-2 relies on Aleksandar Mitrović’s finishing (three goals in qualifiers) and Dušan Vlahović’s aerial threat. No major injuries are reported, so Serbia will leverage their passionate home crowd to press high and challenge England’s defense, aiming to take the group lead.

England are leading Group K with nine points from three matches (3 wins), coming off a 2-0 win over Andorra on September 6, 2025, where an own goal and Declan Rice scored. Their recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five, scoring eight goals and conceding three, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Away form is strong, with two wins in their last three road games, including a 1-0 victory at Andorra. Coach Thomas Tuchel’s 4-2-3-1 depends on Harry Kane’s finishing (three goals in qualifiers) and Jude Bellingham’s creativity. No major injuries are noted, but Trent Alexander-Arnold’s omission sees Rico Lewis likely starting. England will aim to dominate possession and exploit Serbia’s backline with their attacking depth.

Head to Head
England hold a slight historical edge over Serbia, with their only recent meeting a 1-0 England win at Euro 2024 on June 16, 2024, where Jude Bellingham scored the decisive header, per historical data. That match saw England control possession (55%) but struggle against Serbia’s low block, per Sofascore. In Belgrade, this is their first competitive clash since Serbia’s independence, but England’s 4-1 win over Yugoslavia in 1987 suggests historical dominance. Matches average 1.0 goal, with both teams scoring in 0% of their recent encounter, pointing to a potentially tight, low-scoring game. England’s Euro 2024 win gives them a psychological edge, but Serbia’s home form could make this competitive.

Prediction
England’s perfect group record and attacking quality make them slight favorites, but Serbia’s home strength and physicality keep this close. I predict a 1-1 draw, with Mitrović likely scoring for Serbia and Kane or Bellingham replying for England. England’s win-or-draw probability is around 60%, reflecting their form, but Serbia’s unbeaten home run (four games) could force a stalemate. Expect England to edge possession (around 53%) and corners (6-8 projected), with Serbia’s counters testing Jordan Pickford’s goal. The game should see Serbia’s wing-backs challenge England’s flanks, while England’s midfield battles Serbia’s physicality, building on their 1-0 Euro 2024 win, for a hard-fought draw.
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