9th Sep. FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)---Hungary VS Portugal Prediction
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) - Hungary VS Portugal
Match Time:10-09-2025 02:45 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Hungary are entering this FIFA World Cup 2026 UEFA Qualifier Group F match at Puskás Aréna in Budapest with a challenging start, sitting third in the group after a 2-2 draw against the Republic of Ireland on June 10, 2025. Their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, scoring six goals and conceding seven, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. At home, Hungary are resilient, unbeaten in their last three competitive matches, with goalkeeper Dénes Dibusz keeping one clean sheet. Coach Marco Rossi’s 4-3-3 relies on Dominik Szoboszlai’s creativity (one goal in qualifiers) and Barnabás Varga’s finishing. Roland Sallai’s suspension forces a change, with Zsolt Nagy likely stepping in. Hungary will leverage their passionate home crowd to press high and exploit Portugal’s defense, aiming for a crucial upset to boost their qualification hopes.
Portugal are leading Group F with three points from a 5-0 thrashing of Armenia on September 6, 2025, where Cristiano Ronaldo and João Félix each scored twice. Their recent form is excellent, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five, scoring nine goals and conceding three, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Away form is strong, with two wins in their last three road games, including the Armenia rout. Coach Roberto Martínez’s 4-3-3 depends on Ronaldo’s finishing (six goals in six games vs. Hungary) and Bruno Fernandes’s playmaking. Injuries to Diogo Dalot, Nélson Semedo, and Rafael Leão see Nuno Tavares and Pedro Neto stepping in. Portugal will aim to dominate possession and overwhelm Hungary’s defense with their attacking depth.
Head to Head
Portugal dominate the historical record against Hungary, winning 10 of their 14 meetings, with four draws and no Hungary victories since 1926, per historical data. Their most recent clash was a 3-1 Portugal win at Euro 2020 on June 15, 2021, at Puskás Aréna, with Ronaldo scoring twice. Other recent meetings include 3-0 Portugal wins in 2017 World Cup qualifiers and a 3-3 draw at Euro 2016. In Budapest, Portugal are unbeaten in their last three visits (two wins, one draw). Matches average 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 36% of encounters, suggesting a potentially high-scoring game. Portugal’s 7-0 aggregate in their last three wins gives them a psychological edge, but Hungary’s home form could make it competitive.
Prediction
Portugal’s superior form, attacking firepower, and historical dominance make them favorites, but Hungary’s home resilience and Szoboszlai’s flair keep this close. I predict a 2-1 win for Portugal, with Ronaldo or Félix likely scoring, while Varga or Szoboszlai could nick one for Hungary on a set piece. Portugal’s win probability is around 65%, reflecting their 5-0 Armenia win and Hungary’s draw against Ireland. Expect Portugal to control possession (around 55%) and corners (7-9 projected), with Hungary’s counters testing Diogo Costa’s goal. The game should see Portugal’s wingers exploit Hungary’s flanks, building on their 3-1 Euro 2020 win, but Hungary’s home crowd could make it a narrow contest.
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