7th Sep.King Cup in Thailand---Thailand VS Iraq Prediction
King Cup in Thailand - Thailand VS Iraq
Match Time:07-09-2025 21:00 Sunday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Thailand are entering the 2025 King’s Cup final at Kanchanaburi Province Stadium as hosts, ranked 102nd in the FIFA rankings, with confidence after a 3-0 semi-final win over Fiji on September 4, 2025. Their recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, scoring eight goals and conceding four, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. At home, Thailand are strong, unbeaten in their last four competitive matches, with goalkeeper Patiwat Khammai keeping two clean sheets. Coach Masatada Ishii’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Benjamin Davis’s creativity (scored vs. Fiji) and Teerasak Poeiphimai’s finishing (one goal). No major injuries are reported, so Thailand will leverage their passionate home crowd to press high and exploit Iraq’s defense, aiming to defend their 2024 King’s Cup title.
Iraq, ranked 58th, are in good shape after a 2-1 comeback win over Hong Kong in the semi-finals, with Mohanad Ali scoring twice. Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, scoring six goals and conceding six, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Away form is a concern, with one win in their last three road games, conceding an average of 1.3 goals. Coach Jesús Casas’s 4-3-3 depends on Ali’s finishing (two goals in qualifiers) and Aymen Hussein’s aerial threat. No major injuries are noted, but Iraq will need to stay compact to counter Thailand’s home energy, aiming to repeat their 2023 King’s Cup triumph.
Head to Head
Iraq hold a strong historical edge over Thailand, winning 10 of their 17 meetings since 1972, with Thailand winning two and five draws. Their most recent clash was a 2-2 draw in a 2017 World Cup qualifier, with Iraq winning 5-4 on penalties. In Thailand, Iraq won 2-1 in a 2017 friendly, their last visit to Thai soil. Matches average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of recent encounters, per historical data. Iraq’s 4-0 win in 2016 and their unbeaten run in the last three meetings give them a psychological edge, but Thailand’s home form could challenge this dominance.
Prediction
Thailand’s strong home form and attacking momentum make them competitive, but Iraq’s higher ranking and historical edge give them a slight advantage. I predict a 1-1 draw, with Poeiphimai or Davis scoring for Thailand and Ali or Hussein replying for Iraq, potentially decided by penalties. Iraq’s win-or-draw probability is around 60%, reflecting their quality, but Thailand’s home crowd keeps it close. Expect Thailand to edge possession (around 52%) and corners (7-9 projected), with Iraq’s counters posing a threat. The game should see both teams trading chances, with Thailand’s wingers testing Iraq’s flanks, building on their 3-0 Fiji win, for a tight final.
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