7th Sep.FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)---Georgia VS Bulgaria Prediction
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) - Georgia VS Bulgaria
Match Time:07-09-2025 21:00 Sunday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Georgia are entering this FIFA World Cup 2026 UEFA Qualifier Group E match at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena in Tbilisi with momentum, sitting third in the group after a strong Euro 2024 campaign where they reached the round of 16. Their recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, scoring seven goals and conceding four, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. At home, Georgia are formidable, unbeaten in their last four competitive matches, with goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili keeping two clean sheets. Coach Willy Sagnol’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Khvicha Kvaratskhelia’s flair (two goals in qualifiers) and Giorgi Chakvetadze’s midfield creativity. No major injuries are reported, so Georgia will leverage their passionate home crowd to press high and exploit Bulgaria’s shaky defense in this crucial qualifier.
Bulgaria are struggling, sitting last in Group E with one point from three matches. Their recent form is poor, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five, scoring five goals and conceding seven, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Away from home, they’ve been dismal, winless in their last five road games, including a 4-0 loss to Greece in June 2025. Coach Ilian Iliev’s 5-4-1 focuses on defensive solidity, with Kiril Despodov as the main attacking threat (two goals in 2025), but their defense has been porous. No major injuries are noted, but Bulgaria will need to stay compact and rely on counters to have any chance against Georgia’s attacking intensity.
Head to Head
Georgia and Bulgaria have met five times since 2004, with Georgia winning two, Bulgaria one, and two draws, per historical data. Their most recent clash was a 0-0 draw in the 2022 UEFA Nations League in Sofia, where Georgia dominated possession but couldn’t score. In Tbilisi, Georgia won 4-1 in a 2022 Nations League match, with Kvaratskhelia and Zuriko Davitashvili scoring. Matches average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of encounters, suggesting a competitive game. Georgia’s home win in 2022 and their recent form give them a psychological edge, though Bulgaria’s defensive setup could make it tight.
Prediction
Georgia’s strong home form, attacking flair, and recent success against Bulgaria make them favorites against a Bulgaria side struggling on the road. I predict a 2-0 win for Georgia, with Kvaratskhelia or Chakvetadze likely scoring, while Mamardashvili keeps a clean sheet. Georgia’s win probability is around 66%, reflecting their home dominance and Bulgaria’s winless away run. Expect Georgia to control possession (around 55%) and corners (7-9 projected), with Bulgaria’s counters through Despodov posing a limited threat. The game should see Georgia’s wingers exploit Bulgaria’s flanks, building on their 4-1 2022 win, for a comfortable victory.
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