4th Sep. FIFA World Cup qualification (CONMEBOL)---Brazil VS Chile Prediction
FIFA World Cup qualification (CONMEBOL) - Brazil VS Chile
Match Time:05-09-2025 08:30 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Brazil are entering this FIFA World Cup 2026 CONMEBOL Qualifier match at Estadio do Maracanã in Rio de Janeiro with confidence, sitting fourth in the standings with 21 points from 16 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses). Their recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five games, scoring seven goals and conceding four, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. At home, Brazil are strong, winning three of their last four competitive matches, including a 1-0 victory over Paraguay, with Igor Jesus scoring. Coach Carlo Ancelotti’s 4-3-3 relies on Raphinha’s flair (two goals in qualifiers) and Bruno Guimarães’s midfield control. Despite injuries to Vinícius Júnior, Rodrygo, and Éder Militão, Brazil’s depth, with Luiz Henrique stepping up, ensures they remain potent. The home crowd will push Brazil to exploit Chile’s defensive frailties and secure a crucial win.
Chile are struggling, sitting ninth with five points from 16 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 13 losses), and have been eliminated from direct qualification. Their recent form is poor, with no wins in their last five games, including a 2-0 loss to Bolivia, scoring just three goals and conceding eight, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Away form is dismal, with no wins in their last five road games, conceding an average of two goals per match. Coach Ricardo Gareca’s 4-4-2 depends on Eduardo Vargas’s experience and Darío Osorio’s pace, but injuries to Benjamín Kuscevic and Felipe Loyola weaken their defense. Chile will aim to stay compact and counter, but their lack of firepower and defensive issues make this a tough challenge against Brazil’s home strength.
Head to Head
Brazil hold a dominant historical edge over Chile, winning 12 of their last 15 meetings since 2000, with two draws and one Chile victory. Their most recent clash was a 2-1 Brazil win in Santiago on October 10, 2024, with Igor Jesus and Luiz Henrique scoring, while Vargas replied for Chile. At the Maracanã, Brazil are unbeaten against Chile in their last five encounters, including a 4-0 rout in a 2022 World Cup qualifier. Matches average 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of recent games, per historical data. Chile’s sole win was a 2-0 result in 2015, but Brazil’s home dominance, including a 3-0 win in 2017, gives them a clear psychological edge.
Prediction
Brazil’s strong home form, attacking depth, and historical dominance make them heavy favorites against a Chile side with a poor away record and no realistic qualification hopes. I predict a 2-0 win for Brazil, with Raphinha or Henrique likely scoring, while goalkeeper Ederson keeps a clean sheet. Brazil’s win probability is around 70%, reflecting their home strength and Chile’s struggles (0% away win rate in last five). Expect Brazil to control possession (around 58%) and corners (8-10 projected), with Chile’s counters through Osorio posing minimal threat. The game should see Brazil’s wingers overwhelm Chile’s depleted defense, building on their 2-1 victory in October 2024, for a comfortable win.
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