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28th Aug. Copa do Brasil---Bahia VS Fluminense RJ Prediction

28th Aug. Copa do Brasil---Bahia VS Fluminense RJ Prediction
Copa do Brasil  -  Bahia VS Fluminense RJ
Match Time:29-08-2025 06:30 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Team Reviews
Bahia are rolling into this Copa do Brasil knockout tie at Arena Fonte Nova with some real momentum, holding a spot in the top six of the Brasileirao Serie A after a strong opening to the season. They've been on fire lately, chalking up four wins and a single draw in their last five matches across all comps, firing in 10 goals while only letting three slip through the net. At home, they're like a wall – unbeaten in their last six outings there, with a defense that's been stingy and an attack powered by Everaldo and Thaciano that's been picking locks left and right. No major injury headaches for the squad, so coach Rogério Ceni can go with his go-to lineup, and with the home fans creating that electric atmosphere, expect Bahia to come out pressing hard and looking to dictate the play from the first whistle.

Fluminense RJ, the Carioca giants, are in the hunt mid-table but have had a bit of a rollercoaster ride recently, scraping together two wins, two draws, and a loss over their last five games, scoring seven but conceding six, which points to a backline that's solid but not impenetrable. Away from home, though, it's been a grind – just one win in their last four on the road, often getting pegged back by organized defenses. They'll be without a couple of midfield enforcers due to minor knocks, putting the spotlight on their creative sparks like Ganso and Arias to weave some magic on the counter. Still, Fluminense have that big-game pedigree in cups, and they'll aim to stay compact and hit Bahia where it hurts on the break.

Head to Head
These two have had some spicy encounters over the years, but Bahia have been holding the edge in the more recent dust-ups. In the last five meetings, Bahia have nabbed three wins, with one draw and a lone defeat to Fluminense, typically in games that keep you on the edge of your seat. At the Arena Fonte Nova, it's even more lopsided for the hosts – Bahia unbeaten in the previous four clashes there, including a convincing 2-0 shutout last season that had the crowd going wild. The average goals per match hover around 2.4, with both teams trading scores in about half of them, but Bahia's home hustle has been the key factor. Fluminense's last triumph in this fixture was a narrow 1-0 back in 2022, so the stats give Bahia that psychological boost heading in.

Prediction
Leaning on Bahia's buzzing home form, tight defense, and that dominant head-to-head record at their place, I'm calling a 2-1 win for the hosts in this Copa do Brasil showdown. They'll probably control the ball and convert through their in-form forwards, while Fluminense might snag one on the counter but fall short against the pressure. Bahia's win probability clocks in at around 69%, making them the solid bet in what should be a lively, end-to-end scrap – keep tabs on those wing raids that often turn the tide!
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