28th Aug. UEFA Europa League---Samsunspor VS Panathinaikos Prediction
UEFA Europa League - Samsunspor VS Panathinaikos
Match Time:29-08-2025 01:00 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Samsunspor are hosting this UEFA Europa League playoff second leg at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, trailing 2-1 from the first leg in Athens. The Turkish Süper Lig side have shown resilience domestically, sitting mid-table with two wins and a draw in their last five matches, including a 1-0 away win at Kocaelispor and a 2-1 home victory over Gençlerbirliği. They’ve scored five goals while conceding three in that span, with a defense led by Rick van Drongelen and Zeki Yavru holding firm, though they’ve struggled to convert chances, managing just seven shots in the first leg. At home, they’re unbeaten in their last three, but injuries to key midfielder Antoine Makoumbou (doubtful after a late sub in the first leg) could force a reshuffle. Coach Thomas Reis will lean on Emre Kılınç, who scored their lone goal in Athens, and the pace of Logi Tómasson to spark a comeback with the home crowd roaring.
Panathinaikos, the Greek Super League outfit, are in a strong position after their 2-1 first-leg win, thanks to goals from Georgios Kyriakopoulos and Erik Palmer-Brown. Their form is solid, with three wins and two draws in their last five across all competitions, including a dramatic 4-3 penalty shootout win over Shakhtar Donetsk in the Europa League third round. They’ve scored eight goals while conceding four, showing attacking flair led by Anastasios Bakasetas and Tetê, though their defense has been tested away from home, conceding in three of their last four road games. No major injuries, but Anass Zaroury’s yellow card in the first leg puts him at risk, and coach Diego Alonso may rotate slightly with Facundo Pellistri or Fotis Ioannidis likely to feature. Their away form in Europe is decent, with a draw at Rangers in the Champions League qualifiers, but they’ll need to stay sharp to counter Samsunspor’s home energy.
Head to Head
This is only the second meeting between Samsunspor and Panathinaikos, following the first leg on August 21, 2025, where Panathinaikos won 2-1 at Athens Olympic Stadium. Samsunspor took the lead through Logi Tómasson in the 51st minute, but Kyriakopoulos (66th) and Palmer-Brown (74th) turned it around, with Panathinaikos holding 50.3% possession and outshooting Samsunspor 16-7, including 5-3 on target. The game saw four yellow cards (two each) and eight corners for Panathinaikos to Samsunspor’s four, reflecting the hosts’ control. With no deeper historical data, the first leg suggests Panathinaikos’ slight edge in quality, but Samsunspor’s home crowd could make this a tighter affair, likely producing 2-3 goals based on the first leg’s intensity.
Prediction
Panathinaikos’ first-leg lead and European experience give them the upper hand, but Samsunspor’s home form and desperation to overturn the deficit will make this a battle. I predict a 1-1 draw, with Samsunspor pushing hard through Kılınç or Tómasson to level the tie, only for Panathinaikos to nick an away goal via Bakasetas or Ioannidis, securing a 3-2 aggregate win. Panathinaikos’ probability of advancing is around 67%, factoring in their slight edge and ability to manage games away. Expect a tense match with both teams scoring, and watch for Samsunspor’s early set pieces to test Panathinaikos’ backline.
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